MATCHES / #2395288
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-14 FINAL
DETONATE
DETONATE
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Iowa Stormboar
Iowa Stormboar
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
DETONATE 59% Iowa Stormboar 41%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.209
PHANTOM +0.134
PHANTOM confidence -0.054
SHADOW BET 7.2u @ 1.723 → -7.2u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 DETONATE 54%
PHANTOM v2 DETONATE 64%
TITAN v2 DETONATE 59%
NEXUS v2 DETONATE 52%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

59%
DETONATE
MODEL ODDS
0.59
BET ODDS
1.723

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL
mirage 75% DETONATE
nuke 31% DETONATE
ancient 60% DETONATE
dust2 0% DETONATE
anubis 43% DETONATE
inferno 0% WR (0/2)
overpass 50% WR (1/2)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
mirage 16 – 14 DETONATE took the map.
nuke 2 – 13 Iowa Stormboar took the map.
anubis 9 – 13 Iowa Stormboar took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.