struggletony vs XI — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2395270

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-12 FINAL

struggletony

WINNER

2 : 0

SERIES COMPLETE

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

ancient 71% struggletony

dust2 0% struggletony

nuke 49% struggletony

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 0

struggletony

SERIES WINNER

STRUGGLET…

—

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL

ancient 71% struggletony

dust2 0% struggletony

nuke 49% struggletony

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

ancient 13 – 9 struggletony took the map.

nuke 13 – 6 struggletony took the map.

Side

struggletony WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP Altekz RIFLER	35	31	18	57%	112.4	80.5%	1.39	6.3
Q-Q	32	24	10	59%	88.8	75.6%	1.29	—
Queenix RIFLER	31	28	14	55%	87.3	73.2%	1.20	3.4
Twinx	31	24	2	58%	80.7	70.7%	1.18	—
birdfromsky SUPPORT	30	26	11	50%	82.6	73.2%	1.18	3.7

XI

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP ETYYY	35	30	17	63%	105.8	80.5%	1.38	—
emili0	30	34	8	47%	78.7	63.4%	0.99	—
Egelund	26	29	8	35%	73.2	65.9%	0.97	—
Jiace	20	33	5	65%	58.0	53.7%	0.64	—
Bakorino	20	34	8	65%	69.2	46.3%	0.62	—

struggletony WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Altekz	19	15	12	58%	117.3	81.8%	1.47	6.3
Q-Q	18	14	6	50%	89.7	72.7%	1.28	—
Twinx	19	15	1	58%	90.5	72.7%	1.27	—
Queenix	16	15	9	50%	88.3	77.3%	1.21	3.4
birdfromsky	15	15	4	33%	73.2	72.7%	1.07	3.7

XI

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ETYYY	16	17	8	50%	89.1	81.8%	1.20	—
Bakorino	14	18	7	64%	91.6	54.6%	0.90	—
Jiace	14	17	4	64%	73.0	59.1%	0.88	—
Egelund	14	16	3	29%	66.2	59.1%	0.88	—
emili0	14	20	4	36%	68.7	59.1%	0.80	—

struggletony WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
birdfromsky	15	11	7	67%	93.4	73.7%	1.31	3.7
Q-Q	14	10	4	71%	87.8	79.0%	1.30	—
Altekz	16	16	6	56%	106.7	79.0%	1.29	6.3
Queenix	15	13	5	60%	86.3	68.4%	1.18	3.4
Twinx	12	9	1	58%	69.4	68.4%	1.08	—

XI

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
ETYYY	19	13	9	74%	125.2	79.0%	1.59	—
emili0	16	14	4	56%	90.3	68.4%	1.21	—
Egelund	12	13	5	42%	81.2	73.7%	1.07	—
Jiace	6	16	1	67%	40.7	47.4%	0.37	—
Bakorino	6	16	1	67%	43.3	36.8%	0.30	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = struggletony · Magenta = XI. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

struggletony

Series winner

View team →

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

Altekz ETYYY Q-Q Queenix Twinx birdfromsky emili0 Egelund Jiace Bakorino