Washed vs STATE — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2395265

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-12 FINAL

Washed

CHALLENGER

1 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

STATE

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

anubis 80% Washed

ancient 74% Washed

inferno 68% Washed

mirage 65% Washed

nuke 42% Washed

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

1 : 2

STATE

SERIES WINNER

WASHED

STATE

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL

anubis 80% Washed

ancient 74% Washed

inferno 68% Washed

mirage 65% Washed

nuke 42% Washed

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

anubis 16 – 13 Washed took the map.

mirage 5 – 13 STATE took the map.

nuke 3 – 13 STATE took the map.

Side

Washed

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP kroK	46	49	19	63%	93.8	69.8%	1.12	—
ANSG1	40	53	16	50%	78.1	60.3%	0.88	—
suma	37	46	12	68%	68.1	60.3%	0.86	—
Lucky	32	41	13	53%	68.3	60.3%	0.83	—
kiR	33	49	9	70%	64.4	52.4%	0.70	—

STATE WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP Zanto RIFLER	57	39	20	49%	103.9	85.7%	1.50	4.3
sL1m3 AWP	59	39	6	32%	97.5	73.0%	1.40	5.1
thamlike RIFLER	45	29	10	56%	74.5	82.5%	1.29	4.7
Kwezz	44	38	17	59%	85.9	73.0%	1.18	—
Patti	39	49	21	56%	79.0	66.7%	0.96	—

Washed WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
kroK	25	19	8	64%	100.9	65.5%	1.29	—
Lucky	17	15	9	47%	74.8	72.4%	1.09	—
ANSG1	21	24	9	38%	92.0	65.5%	1.05	—
suma	18	18	6	72%	71.4	72.4%	1.05	—
kiR	15	19	4	60%	56.8	62.1%	0.81	—

STATE

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Zanto	23	21	11	57%	107.1	82.8%	1.35	4.3
thamlike	20	14	3	70%	80.7	89.7%	1.32	4.7
Kwezz	23	15	5	52%	86.9	72.4%	1.30	—
sL1m3	17	20	1	41%	62.2	58.6%	0.83	5.1
Patti	13	27	10	54%	73.4	51.7%	0.60	—

Washed

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
suma	13	13	5	46%	82.3	72.2%	1.12	—
kroK	11	15	9	55%	86.4	77.8%	1.04	—
kiR	10	15	5	60%	78.4	50.0%	0.74	—
ANSG1	10	16	5	40%	65.6	55.6%	0.71	—
Lucky	8	14	1	38%	51.9	50.0%	0.57	—

STATE WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
sL1m3	22	12	3	9%	120.1	83.3%	1.77	5.1
Zanto	18	10	5	56%	109.4	88.9%	1.66	4.3
Patti	13	13	7	54%	81.2	77.8%	1.17	—
thamlike	12	8	3	50%	61.1	72.2%	1.14	4.7
Kwezz	12	13	5	58%	83.2	66.7%	1.03	—

Washed

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
kroK	10	15	2	70%	89.1	68.8%	0.90	—
ANSG1	9	13	2	89%	67.0	56.3%	0.75	—
Lucky	7	12	3	86%	74.8	50.0%	0.66	—
kiR	8	15	0	100%	62.6	37.5%	0.47	—
suma	6	15	1	100%	46.1	25.0%	0.22	—

STATE WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
sL1m3	20	7	2	50%	135.9	87.5%	2.00	5.1
Zanto	16	8	4	31%	91.8	87.5%	1.62	4.3
thamlike	13	7	4	38%	78.3	81.3%	1.40	4.7
Patti	13	9	4	62%	86.6	81.3%	1.36	—
Kwezz	9	10	7	78%	87.2	81.3%	1.13	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = Washed · Magenta = STATE. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

Zanto sL1m3 thamlike Kwezz kroK Patti ANSG1 suma Lucky kiR