MATCHES / #2395251
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-13 FINAL
Third Prime
Third Prime
CHALLENGER
0 : 0
SERIES COMPLETE
XI
Xiaoma
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Third Prime 57% Xiaoma 43%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.147
PHANTOM +0.105
Elo win prob +0.036
SHADOW BET 4.9u @ 1.793 → -4.9u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Third Prime 54%
PHANTOM v2 Xiaoma 52%
TITAN v2 Third Prime 57%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

57%
Third Prime
MODEL ODDS
0.57
BET ODDS
1.793

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL
anubis 100% Third Prime
inferno 0% WR (0/1)
overpass 0% WR (0/1)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
Veto simulation requires ≥4 maps with historical data for both teams.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. No demo available.