MATCHES / #2395241
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-18 FINAL
Ground Zero
Ground Zero
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Rooster
Rooster
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Ground Zero 64% Rooster 36%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
PHANTOM +0.227
Ensemble mean +0.151
Elo win prob +0.044
SHADOW BET 9.8u @ 1.611 → -9.8u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Rooster 64%
PHANTOM v2 Ground Zero 82%
TITAN v2 Ground Zero 64%
NEXUS v2 Ground Zero 53%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

64%
Ground Zero
MODEL ODDS
0.64
BET ODDS
1.611

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
ancient 100% Ground Zero
overpass 26% Ground Zero
vertigo 56% Ground Zero
anubis 44% Ground Zero
mirage 46% Ground Zero
inferno 52% Ground Zero
nuke 49% Ground Zero
dust2 50% Ground Zero
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
nuke 13 – 2 Ground Zero took the map.
anubis 11 – 13 Rooster took the map.
mirage 11 – 13 Rooster took the map.

No Demo Data

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