MATCHES / #2395238
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-16 FINAL
Ground Zero
Ground Zero
WINNER
2 : 0
SERIES COMPLETE
Rooster
Rooster
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Ground Zero 50% Rooster 50%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
PHANTOM +0.260
Ensemble mean -0.230
Elo win prob +0.044
SHADOW BET 1.0u @ 1.994 → -1.0u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Rooster 64%
PHANTOM v2 Ground Zero 71%
TITAN v2 Rooster 50%
NEXUS v2 Rooster 57%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

50%
Ground Zero
MODEL ODDS
0.50
BET ODDS
1.994

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
ancient 100% Ground Zero
overpass 26% Ground Zero
vertigo 56% Ground Zero
anubis 44% Ground Zero
mirage 46% Ground Zero
inferno 52% Ground Zero
nuke 49% Ground Zero
dust2 50% Ground Zero
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
mirage 13 – 10 Ground Zero took the map.
dust2 16 – 13 Ground Zero took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.