MATCHES / #2395194
HLTV
T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-16 FINAL
IL
illwill
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
ex-RUBY
ex-RUBY
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
illwill 64% ex-RUBY 36%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.379
PHANTOM +0.127
PHANTOM confidence -0.058
SHADOW BET 10.0u @ 1.606 → -10.0u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 illwill 66%
PHANTOM v2 illwill 64%
TITAN v2 illwill 64%
NEXUS v2 illwill 60%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

64%
illwill
MODEL ODDS
0.64
BET ODDS
1.606

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
inferno 100% illwill
ancient 23% illwill
nuke 54% illwill
overpass 47% illwill
anubis 48% illwill
mirage 49% illwill
dust2 50% illwill
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
mirage 17 – 19 ex-RUBY took the map.
nuke 13 – 16 ex-RUBY took the map.
dust2 13 – 11 illwill took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.