MATCHES / #2395187
HLTV
T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-14 FINAL
IL
illwill
WINNER
2 : 1
SERIES COMPLETE
Virtus.pro
Virtus.pro
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✓ CORRECT CALL
illwill 58% Virtus.pro 42%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.213
PHANTOM +0.131
PHANTOM confidence -0.054
SHADOW BET 3.6u @ 1.763 → +2.7u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 illwill 54%
PHANTOM v2 illwill 64%
TITAN v2 illwill 58%
NEXUS v2 Virtus.pro 51%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

58%
illwill
MODEL ODDS
0.58
BET ODDS
1.763

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
ancient 25% illwill
nuke 42% illwill
dust2 56% illwill
overpass 45% illwill
mirage 53% illwill
inferno 51% illwill
anubis 50% illwill
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
mirage 13 – 11 illwill took the map.
dust2 11 – 13 Virtus.pro took the map.
overpass 13 – 10 illwill took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.