illwill vs RUSTEC — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2395176

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-11 FINAL

illwill

WINNER

2 : 0

SERIES COMPLETE

RUSTEC

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

nuke 64% illwill

anubis 65% illwill

mirage 62% illwill

overpass 41% illwill

ancient 31% illwill

dust2 59% illwill

inferno 47% illwill

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 0

illwill

SERIES WINNER

ILLWILL

RUSTEC

—

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

nuke 64% illwill

anubis 65% illwill

mirage 62% illwill

overpass 41% illwill

ancient 31% illwill

dust2 59% illwill

inferno 47% illwill

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

dust2 19 – 17 illwill took the map.

mirage 13 – 7 illwill took the map.

Side

illwill WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP 7Kick	54	35	13	39%	101.2	77.2%	1.46	—
maden	50	39	13	52%	100.1	68.4%	1.30	—
hAdji	44	43	16	45%	90.7	70.2%	1.16	—
shalfey	36	35	10	58%	69.5	63.2%	0.98	—
VLDN	32	37	8	38%	56.2	61.4%	0.84	—

RUSTEC

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP youka AWP	49	37	5	35%	92.3	68.4%	1.26	6.7
jakekeS	41	43	16	51%	88.5	64.9%	1.07	—
Brilliance	29	45	24	66%	68.7	70.2%	0.86	—
anttzz RIFLER	30	40	8	67%	63.4	57.9%	0.78	5.2
supra RIFLER	32	44	10	50%	72.5	49.1%	0.74	5.5

illwill WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
7Kick	40	21	11	35%	119.4	77.8%	1.69	—
hAdji	26	28	8	54%	84.1	61.1%	1.01	—
maden	24	23	9	63%	82.9	55.6%	0.99	—
VLDN	20	22	4	40%	57.2	61.1%	0.86	—
shalfey	19	24	7	53%	61.9	55.6%	0.79	—

RUSTEC

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
youka	34	21	4	29%	103.2	69.4%	1.42	6.7
jakekeS	23	26	9	52%	80.1	58.3%	0.94	—
supra	24	25	5	54%	85.0	50.0%	0.92	5.5
Brilliance	17	28	17	76%	70.5	69.4%	0.84	—
anttzz	17	26	6	71%	64.3	55.6%	0.71	5.2

illwill WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
maden	26	16	4	42%	129.7	90.5%	1.82	—
hAdji	18	15	8	33%	102.0	85.7%	1.41	—
shalfey	17	11	3	65%	82.4	76.2%	1.32	—
7Kick	14	14	2	50%	70.0	76.2%	1.07	—
VLDN	12	15	4	33%	54.3	61.9%	0.82	—

RUSTEC

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
jakekeS	18	17	7	50%	102.9	76.2%	1.29	—
youka	15	16	1	47%	73.4	66.7%	1.00	6.7
anttzz	13	14	2	62%	61.9	61.9%	0.90	5.2
Brilliance	12	17	7	50%	65.6	71.4%	0.89	—
supra	8	19	5	38%	51.0	47.6%	0.44	5.5

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = illwill · Magenta = RUSTEC. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

KEY MOMENTS & HIGHLIGHTS

👑 Untouchable mythic

Drop a 40-bomb — 40+ kills on a single map

unlocked 2026-06-11

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

7Kick maden youka hAdji jakekeS shalfey Brilliance VLDN anttzz supra