Atreides vs TNC — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-04

Atreides Winner

2 : 0

Atreides wins

TNC

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Atreides	vs	TNC	Edge
inferno	60% (6/10)		100% (1/1)	-40pp
overpass	42% (5/12)		12% (1/8)	+30pp
mirage	75% (15/20)		50% (12/24)	+25pp
ancient	75% (9/12)		57% (16/28)	+18pp
dust2	50% (5/10)		33% (6/18)	+17pp
nuke	54% (7/13)		46% (11/24)	+8pp
anubis	—	·	67% (6/9)
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Atreides bans

overpass 42% WR

nuke 54% WR

TNC bans

dust2 33% WR

mirage 50% WR

Atreides pick

ancient

57% — Atreides favored

Decider

inferno

62% TNC

Decider

vertigo

TNC pick

anubis

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

inferno

38%

62%

TNC

overpass

78%

22%

Atreides

mirage

60%

40%

Atreides

ancient

57%

43%

Atreides

dust2

60%

40%

Atreides

nuke

54%

46%

even

Atreides on left · TNC on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Atreides WIN
MVP DEPRESHN AWP	35	19	5	29%	80.2	85.0%	1.45	6.8
Goody RIFLER	28	27	11	46%	92.0	77.5%	1.19	4.8
smekk	28	24	11	54%	76.0	75.0%	1.17	—
Chill	30	23	7	53%	83.0	65.0%	1.16	—
dan1 ENTRY	18	23	6	44%	57.5	67.5%	0.84	4.2
TNC
MVP yvro	28	26	12	39%	83.6	75.0%	1.17	—
tomiko	29	30	11	45%	88.0	62.5%	1.05	—
Melavi	20	25	2	25%	58.1	60.0%	0.79	—
maaryy	19	25	6	53%	58.5	57.5%	0.76	—
AdrieN	16	30	5	69%	43.7	50.0%	0.53	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Atreides WIN
DEPRESHN	21	12	4	33%	86.7	87.0%	1.50	6.8
smekk	15	12	5	40%	65.6	73.9%	1.12	—
Goody	14	17	7	57%	87.7	73.9%	1.04	4.8
Chill	13	13	5	46%	61.8	60.9%	0.91	—
dan1	11	16	4	45%	65.8	65.2%	0.81	4.2
TNC
tomiko	22	16	8	55%	106.3	73.9%	1.43	—
yvro	14	13	7	29%	76.5	73.9%	1.10	—
Melavi	13	12	2	23%	65.7	65.2%	0.97	—
maaryy	8	13	4	25%	46.6	52.2%	0.61	—
AdrieN	10	17	1	60%	46.3	47.8%	0.55	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Atreides WIN
Chill	17	10	2	59%	111.7	70.6%	1.50	—
Goody	14	10	4	36%	97.8	82.4%	1.40	4.8
DEPRESHN	14	7	1	21%	71.4	82.4%	1.39	6.8
smekk	13	12	6	69%	90.1	76.5%	1.23	—
dan1	7	7	2	43%	46.1	70.6%	0.87	4.2
TNC
yvro	14	13	5	50%	93.2	76.5%	1.25	—
maaryy	11	12	2	73%	74.5	64.7%	0.97	—
Melavi	7	13	0	29%	47.7	52.9%	0.55	—
tomiko	7	14	3	14%	63.1	47.1%	0.54	—
AdrieN	6	13	4	83%	40.3	52.9%	0.50	—

Teams

Players in this match

DEPRESHN Goody smekk yvro Chill tomiko dan1 Melavi maaryy AdrieN