MATCHES / #2395133
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-16 FINAL
Gentle Mates
Gentle Mates
CHALLENGER
0 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Nuclear TigeRES
Nuclear TigeRES
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Gentle Mates 75% Nuclear TigeRES 25%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.635
PHANTOM +0.220
Elo win prob +0.061
SHADOW BET 11.1u @ 1.905 → -11.1u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Gentle Mates 76%
PHANTOM v2 Gentle Mates 71%
NEXUS v2 Gentle Mates 63%
TITAN v2 Gentle Mates 75%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

75%
Gentle Mates
MODEL ODDS
0.75
BET ODDS
1.905

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
mirage 39% Gentle Mates
nuke 54% Gentle Mates
anubis 48% Gentle Mates
ancient 49% Gentle Mates
inferno 50% Gentle Mates
overpass 57% WR (8/14)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
nuke 11 – 13 Nuclear TigeRES took the map.
anubis 11 – 13 Nuclear TigeRES took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.