MATCHES / #2395127
HLTV
T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-14 FINAL
IL
illwill
CHALLENGER
0 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Nuclear TigeRES
Nuclear TigeRES
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
illwill 85% Nuclear TigeRES 15%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.857
PHANTOM +0.381
PHANTOM confidence +0.185
SHADOW BET 7.0u @ 1.250 → -7.0u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 illwill 76%
PHANTOM v2 illwill 94%
TITAN v2 illwill 85%
NEXUS v2 illwill 70%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

85%
illwill
MODEL ODDS
0.85
BET ODDS
1.250

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
ancient 19% illwill
nuke 61% illwill
anubis 42% illwill
dust2 57% illwill
inferno 48% illwill
mirage 52% illwill
overpass 56% WR (9/16)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
anubis 11 – 13 Nuclear TigeRES took the map.
dust2 8 – 13 Nuclear TigeRES took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.