SPARTA vs Ursa — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-06-04

SPARTA Winner

2 : 0

SPARTA wins

Ursa

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	SPARTA	vs	Ursa	Edge
ancient	35% (25/72)		0% (0/1)	+35pp
dust2	44% (24/55)		64% (43/67)	-20pp
inferno	25% (2/8)		40% (12/30)	-15pp
anubis	50% (3/6)		64% (7/11)	-14pp
mirage	54% (43/80)		46% (19/41)	+8pp
nuke	50% (36/72)		42% (22/53)	+8pp
overpass	53% (20/38)		48% (11/23)	+5pp
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

SPARTA bans

inferno 25% WR

dust2 44% WR

Ursa bans

nuke 42% WR

mirage 46% WR

SPARTA pick

overpass

52% — SPARTA favored

Decider

ancient

100% SPARTA

Decider

vertigo

Ursa pick

anubis

56% — Ursa favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

100%

SPARTA

dust2

41%

59%

Ursa

inferno

38%

62%

Ursa

anubis

44%

56%

Ursa

mirage

54%

46%

even

nuke

54%

46%

even

overpass

52%

48%

even

SPARTA on left · Ursa on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SPARTA WIN
MVP El1an AWP	42	21	7	19%	115.4	82.1%	1.69	7.6
Djon8 RIFLER	29	26	8	45%	83.9	76.9%	1.20	7.6
TRAVIS RIFLER	29	21	9	45%	84.7	64.1%	1.18	7.0
k4nfuz RIFLER	25	22	7	80%	65.7	71.8%	1.07	7.3
NickelBack ENTRY	23	27	16	43%	75.9	64.1%	0.95	6.4
Ursa
MVP Krad	28	27	4	54%	88.0	66.7%	1.09	—
karnez RIFLER	29	33	11	79%	91.1	69.2%	1.08	6.1
Alv	20	28	3	25%	61.1	56.4%	0.74	—
Salazar	21	28	3	52%	56.6	48.7%	0.69	—
4X1s	19	32	8	58%	62.5	53.9%	0.66	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SPARTA WIN
k4nfuz	17	9	3	82%	88.6	83.3%	1.52	7.3
El1an	16	8	2	25%	94.7	77.8%	1.48	7.6
Djon8	13	11	6	46%	89.2	83.3%	1.29	7.6
TRAVIS	14	9	5	43%	88.4	61.1%	1.22	7.0
NickelBack	10	12	3	50%	69.1	66.7%	0.91	6.4
Ursa
Krad	13	14	3	54%	83.9	61.1%	1.00	—
karnez	10	15	6	90%	69.9	77.8%	0.92	6.1
Salazar	11	12	3	36%	58.9	55.6%	0.85	—
4X1s	7	15	6	86%	57.5	61.1%	0.62	—
Alv	7	13	1	29%	55.0	55.6%	0.60	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SPARTA WIN
El1an	26	13	5	15%	133.2	85.7%	1.88	7.6
TRAVIS	15	12	4	47%	81.4	66.7%	1.14	7.0
Djon8	16	15	2	44%	79.3	71.4%	1.12	7.6
NickelBack	13	15	13	38%	81.7	61.9%	0.99	6.4
k4nfuz	8	13	4	75%	46.1	61.9%	0.68	7.3
Ursa
karnez	19	18	5	74%	109.3	61.9%	1.21	6.1
Krad	15	13	1	53%	91.4	71.4%	1.17	—
Alv	13	15	2	23%	66.3	57.1%	0.86	—
4X1s	12	17	2	42%	66.8	47.6%	0.70	—
Salazar	10	16	0	70%	54.5	42.9%	0.55	—

Teams

Players in this match

El1an Djon8 TRAVIS Krad karnez k4nfuz NickelBack Alv Salazar 4X1s