Marsborne vs SportsBetExpert

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-31

Marsborne Winner

2 : 0

Marsborne wins

SportsBetExpert

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Marsborne	vs	SportsBetExpert	Edge
nuke	60% (29/48)		25% (1/4)	+35pp
dust2	44% (19/43)		76% (13/17)	-32pp
inferno	72% (59/82)		50% (6/12)	+22pp
ancient	58% (42/73)		67% (6/9)	-9pp
mirage	68% (17/25)		62% (8/13)	+6pp
overpass	46% (13/28)		44% (4/9)	+2pp
anubis	66% (19/29)		67% (2/3)	-1pp
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Marsborne bans

dust2 44% WR

overpass 46% WR

SportsBetExpert bans

nuke 25% WR

inferno 50% WR

Marsborne pick

mirage

52% — Marsborne favored

Decider

vertigo

Decider

ancient

54% SportsBetExpert

SportsBetExpert pick

anubis

50% — SportsBetExpert favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

nuke

71%

29%

Marsborne

dust2

37%

63%

SportsBetExpert

inferno

59%

41%

Marsborne

ancient

46%

54%

even

mirage

52%

48%

even

overpass

51%

49%

even

anubis

50%

even

Marsborne on left · SportsBetExpert on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Marsborne WIN
MVP ogwizard	40	19	8	18%	97.5	81.4%	1.56	—
Grizz	36	29	15	50%	97.2	79.1%	1.35	—
marekiew	28	21	6	57%	71.2	76.7%	1.17	—
WUMBO	29	28	15	62%	84.9	76.7%	1.16	—
freshie	24	32	24	42%	88.5	69.8%	1.00	—
SportsBetExpert
MVP consti AWP	28	28	10	43%	78.1	65.1%	1.03	8.1
dare	29	35	11	41%	83.7	69.8%	1.01	—
peeping	28	36	10	54%	85.5	62.8%	0.93	—
WolfY	25	32	6	56%	78.4	60.5%	0.87	—
MOTM	19	29	13	58%	47.0	60.5%	0.71	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Marsborne WIN
ogwizard	21	9	5	14%	108.4	90.5%	1.73	—
Grizz	22	13	7	45%	111.7	76.2%	1.58	—
WUMBO	16	14	8	56%	87.7	81.0%	1.27	—
freshie	12	16	9	42%	76.3	66.7%	0.92	—
marekiew	10	12	4	50%	58.3	66.7%	0.86	—
SportsBetExpert
consti	16	15	6	38%	89.3	61.9%	1.11	8.1
peeping	15	19	5	67%	92.7	66.7%	1.00	—
WolfY	13	16	4	62%	71.1	71.4%	0.96	—
dare	13	17	4	38%	85.0	66.7%	0.94	—
MOTM	7	14	9	43%	33.7	52.4%	0.53	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Marsborne WIN
marekiew	18	9	2	61%	83.6	86.4%	1.46	—
ogwizard	19	10	3	21%	87.1	72.7%	1.39	—
Grizz	14	16	8	57%	83.3	81.8%	1.12	—
freshie	12	16	15	42%	100.1	72.7%	1.06	—
WUMBO	13	14	7	69%	82.2	72.7%	1.06	—
SportsBetExpert
dare	16	18	7	44%	82.4	72.7%	1.08	—
consti	12	13	4	50%	67.3	68.2%	0.95	8.1
MOTM	12	15	4	67%	59.7	68.2%	0.88	—
peeping	13	17	5	38%	78.6	59.1%	0.87	—
WolfY	12	16	2	50%	85.4	50.0%	0.79	—

Teams

Players in this match

ogwizard Grizz marekiew WUMBO consti dare freshie peeping WolfY MOTM