LAG vs SportsBetExpert — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-31

LAG

1 : 2

SportsBetExpert wins

SportsBetExpert Winner

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	LAG	vs	SportsBetExpert	Edge
nuke	60% (26/43)		25% (1/4)	+35pp
anubis	39% (19/49)		67% (2/3)	-28pp
mirage	39% (17/44)		62% (8/13)	-23pp
dust2	57% (26/46)		76% (13/17)	-19pp
inferno	65% (47/72)		50% (6/12)	+15pp
ancient	56% (50/89)		67% (6/9)	-11pp
overpass	53% (8/15)		44% (4/9)	+9pp
vertigo	48% (10/21)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

LAG bans

anubis 39% WR

mirage 39% WR

SportsBetExpert bans

nuke 25% WR

overpass 44% WR

LAG pick

inferno

57% — LAG favored

Decider

ancient

54% SportsBetExpert

Decider

vertigo

SportsBetExpert pick

dust2

57% — SportsBetExpert favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

nuke

71%

29%

LAG

anubis

37%

63%

SportsBetExpert

mirage

39%

61%

SportsBetExpert

dust2

43%

57%

SportsBetExpert

inferno

57%

43%

LAG

ancient

46%

54%

even

overpass

55%

45%

LAG

LAG on left · SportsBetExpert on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
LAG
MVP nicx	62	49	19	55%	93.6	80.0%	1.34	—
Cryptic	66	58	22	58%	106.4	74.7%	1.33	—
kmrn RIFLER	48	52	15	56%	78.6	69.3%	1.02	7.9
Sandman	49	52	19	49%	75.1	68.0%	1.02	—
djay RIFLER	39	56	22	49%	73.1	65.3%	0.85	7.7
SportsBetExpert WIN
MVP WolfY	59	56	15	63%	94.1	68.0%	1.16	—
consti AWP	52	52	22	27%	76.9	78.7%	1.14	8.1
peeping	55	58	22	55%	87.6	72.0%	1.12	—
dare	56	49	11	48%	80.5	61.3%	1.08	—
MOTM	45	52	16	51%	73.9	65.3%	0.95	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
LAG WIN
nicx	29	18	6	52%	104.8	85.7%	1.60	—
Cryptic	27	23	7	63%	124.2	78.6%	1.45	—
djay	18	20	8	39%	79.0	67.9%	1.01	7.7
Sandman	15	18	7	47%	63.5	75.0%	0.96	—
kmrn	15	19	5	73%	66.6	67.9%	0.89	7.9
SportsBetExpert
consti	26	18	3	23%	91.3	85.7%	1.45	8.1
peeping	23	21	5	52%	90.6	67.9%	1.18	—
dare	20	20	4	40%	76.6	60.7%	1.00	—
WolfY	16	24	8	50%	82.4	57.1%	0.81	—
MOTM	11	22	7	64%	59.0	64.3%	0.67	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
LAG
nicx	18	16	10	44%	99.4	87.0%	1.36	—
Cryptic	18	18	10	72%	102.4	69.6%	1.20	—
kmrn	17	17	4	53%	89.8	73.9%	1.15	7.9
Sandman	17	18	7	35%	81.7	56.5%	0.99	—
djay	9	18	8	44%	58.4	69.6%	0.71	7.7
SportsBetExpert WIN
peeping	20	18	8	60%	101.6	78.3%	1.33	—
MOTM	18	14	4	50%	86.0	73.9%	1.25	—
WolfY	19	17	6	74%	101.4	69.6%	1.24	—
consti	15	16	10	33%	69.7	78.3%	1.09	8.1
dare	16	15	2	44%	78.1	60.9%	1.02	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
LAG
Cryptic	21	17	5	38%	89.4	75.0%	1.30	—
Sandman	17	16	5	65%	82.2	70.8%	1.12	—
kmrn	16	16	6	44%	82.0	66.7%	1.06	7.9
nicx	15	15	3	73%	74.8	66.7%	1.01	—
djay	12	18	6	67%	80.5	58.3%	0.80	7.7
SportsBetExpert WIN
WolfY	24	15	1	63%	100.6	79.2%	1.50	—
dare	20	14	5	60%	87.3	62.5%	1.23	—
MOTM	16	16	5	44%	79.5	58.3%	0.98	—
peeping	12	19	9	50%	70.7	70.8%	0.85	—
consti	11	18	9	27%	67.2	70.8%	0.83	8.1

Teams

Players in this match

nicx Cryptic WolfY consti peeping dare kmrn Sandman MOTM djay