HOTU vs DEPO — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-30

HOTU Winner

2 : 1

HOTU wins

DEPO

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	HOTU	vs	DEPO	Edge
inferno	0% (0/4)		80% (4/5)	-80pp
overpass	55% (21/38)		89% (8/9)	-34pp
nuke	56% (33/59)		25% (2/8)	+31pp
mirage	60% (34/57)		40% (8/20)	+20pp
dust2	57% (37/65)		42% (11/26)	+15pp
ancient	65% (57/88)		54% (7/13)	+11pp
anubis	57% (21/37)		60% (3/5)	-3pp
vertigo	22% (2/9)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

HOTU bans

inferno 0% WR

overpass 55% WR

DEPO bans

nuke 25% WR

mirage 40% WR

HOTU pick

ancient

55% — HOTU favored

Decider

dust2

58% HOTU

Decider

vertigo

DEPO pick

anubis

51% — DEPO favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

inferno

100%

DEPO

overpass

38%

62%

DEPO

nuke

69%

31%

HOTU

mirage

60%

40%

HOTU

dust2

58%

42%

HOTU

ancient

55%

45%

HOTU

anubis

49%

51%

even

HOTU on left · DEPO on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
HOTU WIN
MVP frontales	54	41	13	30%	89.3	73.5%	1.27	—
n0rb3r7 RIFLER	50	46	21	58%	94.3	75.0%	1.22	8.4
kade0 RIFLER	47	48	24	53%	84.6	69.1%	1.09	5.5
mizu	39	43	14	46%	68.2	61.8%	0.91	—
dwushka RIFLER	39	49	15	62%	75.0	64.7%	0.91	5.7
DEPO
MVP dako	53	42	15	42%	89.4	70.6%	1.23	—
wetfy AWP	45	41	20	58%	80.6	73.5%	1.14	6.1
shoxs	43	46	13	58%	73.2	64.7%	0.97	—
sh1seido	41	51	10	63%	70.9	60.3%	0.87	—
w1nt3r RIFLER	40	51	13	50%	65.4	61.8%	0.85	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
HOTU WIN
n0rb3r7	23	13	7	65%	120.7	86.4%	1.70	8.4
frontales	20	14	5	40%	101.6	77.3%	1.42	—
kade0	17	17	12	53%	95.2	72.7%	1.21	5.5
dwushka	13	16	5	54%	69.8	63.6%	0.90	5.7
mizu	12	15	4	75%	69.5	63.6%	0.87	—
DEPO
dako	25	14	6	44%	132.1	72.7%	1.69	—
wetfy	14	16	5	50%	70.7	72.7%	1.00	6.1
w1nt3r	13	20	9	23%	75.2	63.6%	0.83	—
sh1seido	11	19	3	45%	57.6	59.1%	0.66	—
shoxs	9	18	4	56%	48.1	50.0%	0.52	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
HOTU WIN
kade0	17	14	6	59%	92.9	73.9%	1.24	5.5
n0rb3r7	14	15	6	50%	82.9	73.9%	1.07	8.4
frontales	14	14	3	21%	69.4	69.6%	1.01	—
dwushka	15	17	5	60%	85.0	65.2%	1.00	5.7
mizu	8	14	6	25%	46.1	52.2%	0.59	—
DEPO
wetfy	17	11	8	65%	91.2	73.9%	1.31	6.1
shoxs	15	12	5	67%	85.7	73.9%	1.18	—
w1nt3r	14	13	2	57%	61.2	65.2%	0.97	—
sh1seido	15	17	3	73%	73.9	60.9%	0.93	—
dako	12	15	5	42%	55.8	65.2%	0.84	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
HOTU
frontales	20	13	5	25%	97.5	73.9%	1.39	—
mizu	19	14	4	37%	89.0	69.6%	1.26	—
n0rb3r7	13	18	8	54%	80.4	65.2%	0.90	8.4
kade0	13	17	6	46%	66.1	60.9%	0.84	5.5
dwushka	11	16	5	73%	69.9	65.2%	0.83	5.7
DEPO WIN
shoxs	19	16	4	53%	84.7	69.6%	1.20	—
dako	16	13	4	38%	82.1	73.9%	1.18	—
wetfy	14	14	7	57%	79.5	73.9%	1.09	6.1
sh1seido	15	15	4	67%	80.8	60.9%	1.00	—
w1nt3r	13	18	2	69%	60.2	56.5%	0.75	—

Teams

Players in this match

frontales dako n0rb3r7 wetfy kade0 shoxs mizu dwushka sh1seido w1nt3r