MATCHES / #2395002
HLTV
T1 · BO5 CS2 · 2026-06-21 FINAL
FURIA
FURIA
CHALLENGER
0 : 3
SERIES COMPLETE
Falcons
Falcons
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✓ CORRECT CALL
FURIA 38% Falcons 62%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean -0.284
Elo win prob +0.027
ORACLE -0.017
SHADOW BET 7.0u @ 1.663 → +4.6u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Falcons 50%
PHANTOM v2 Falcons 63%
TITAN v2 Falcons 62%
NEXUS v2 Falcons 56%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

38%
FURIA
MODEL ODDS
0.38
BET ODDS
1.663

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
overpass 100% FURIA
anubis 25% FURIA
dust2 35% FURIA
nuke 57% FURIA
mirage 40% FURIA
inferno 52% FURIA
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
inferno 8 – 13 Falcons took the map.
mirage 8 – 13 Falcons took the map.
anubis 8 – 13 Falcons took the map.

No Demo Data

Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. No demo available.