T1 · BO3
CS2 · 2026-06-20
FINAL
Spirit
CHALLENGER
1
:
2
SERIES COMPLETE
Falcons
WINNER
/// CQ-GESUS-TITAN v2 · PRIMARY
Prediction breakdown
Spirit 82%
Falcons 18%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean
+0.802
PHANTOM
+0.225
Elo win prob
+0.121
SHADOW BET
32.2u @ 1.293 → +9.4u
half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2
Spirit
85%
✓
PHANTOM v2
Spirit
80%
✓
TITAN v2
Spirit
82%
✓
NEXUS v2
Spirit
72%
✓
OUTCOME PROBABILITY
82%
Spirit
MODEL ODDS
0.82
BET ODDS
1.293
/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE
Veto simulation & map probabilities
overpass
100% Spirit
vertigo
38% Spirit
anubis
39% Spirit
ancient
53% Spirit
dust2
52% Spirit
mirage
52% Spirit
nuke
51% Spirit
inferno
49% Spirit
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
mirage
13 – 8
Spirit took the map.
anubis
14 – 16
Falcons took the map.
dust2
12 – 16
Falcons took the map.
No Demo Data
Player stats and round-by-round analysis require a validated V4 demo. This match is queued for parsing.