MATCHES / #2394999
HLTV
T1 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-19 FINAL
Falcons
Falcons
WINNER
2 : 1
SERIES COMPLETE
Vitality
Vitality
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✓ CORRECT CALL
Falcons 57% Vitality 43%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.365
Elo win prob -0.143
PHANTOM +0.109
SHADOW BET 1.0u @ 1.399 → +0.4u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Falcons 66%
PHANTOM v2 Falcons 64%
NEXUS v2 Falcons 69%
TITAN v2 Falcons 57%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

57%
Falcons
MODEL ODDS
0.57
BET ODDS
1.399

Veto simulation & map probabilities

MAP POOL
anubis 100% Falcons
overpass 0% Falcons
dust2 100% Falcons
inferno 29% Falcons
nuke 38% Falcons
mirage 53% Falcons
ancient 67% WR (2/3)
vertigo 100% WR (1/1)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
inferno 11 – 13 Vitality took the map.
anubis 13 – 11 Falcons took the map.
dust2 13 – 11 Falcons took the map.

No Demo Data

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