MATCHES / #2394995
HLTV
T1 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-15 FINAL
Natus Vincere
Natus Vincere
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
G2
G2
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✓ CORRECT CALL
Natus Vincere 42% G2 58%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean -0.283
Elo win prob +0.115
PHANTOM +0.027
SHADOW BET 4.4u @ 1.769 → +3.4u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 G2 50%
PHANTOM v2 G2 61%
TITAN v2 G2 58%
NEXUS v2 Natus Vincere 60%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

42%
Natus Vincere
MODEL ODDS
0.42
BET ODDS
1.769

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
inferno 26% Natus Vincere
nuke 32% Natus Vincere
ancient 60% Natus Vincere
anubis 32% Natus Vincere
dust2 40% Natus Vincere
mirage 47% Natus Vincere
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
dust2 13 – 11 Natus Vincere took the map.
mirage 10 – 13 G2 took the map.
inferno 14 – 16 G2 took the map.

No Demo Data

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