MATCHES / #2394991
HLTV
T1 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-14 FINAL
Natus Vincere
Natus Vincere
CHALLENGER
1 : 2
SERIES COMPLETE
Falcons
Falcons
WINNER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Natus Vincere 63% Falcons 37%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.328
PHANTOM +0.131
PHANTOM confidence -0.056
SHADOW BET 9.7u @ 1.634 → -9.7u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Natus Vincere 64%
PHANTOM v2 Natus Vincere 64%
TITAN v2 Natus Vincere 63%
NEXUS v2 Natus Vincere 61%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

63%
Natus Vincere
MODEL ODDS
0.63
BET ODDS
1.634

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
anubis 20% Natus Vincere
nuke 33% Natus Vincere
dust2 36% Natus Vincere
ancient 57% Natus Vincere
inferno 35% Natus Vincere
mirage 47% Natus Vincere
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
anubis 16 – 19 Falcons took the map.
dust2 3 – 13 Falcons took the map.
mirage 13 – 7 Natus Vincere took the map.

No Demo Data

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