MATCHES / #2394986
HLTV
T1 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-13 FINAL
Spirit
Spirit
WINNER
2 : 1
SERIES COMPLETE
9z
9z
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✗ WRONG CALL
Spirit 47% 9z 53%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean -0.212
PHANTOM +0.173
Elo win prob +0.039
SHADOW BET 1.3u @ 1.907 → -1.3u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 9z 59%
PHANTOM v2 Spirit 64%
TITAN v2 9z 53%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

47%
Spirit
MODEL ODDS
0.47
BET ODDS
1.907

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
anubis 61% Spirit
inferno 39% Spirit
dust2 56% Spirit
mirage 56% Spirit
ancient 55% Spirit
overpass 48% Spirit
nuke 50% Spirit
vertigo 62% WR (21/34)
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
dust2 16 – 14 Spirit took the map.
mirage 16 – 13 Spirit took the map.
overpass 12 – 16 9z took the map.

No Demo Data

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