MATCHES / #2394979
HLTV
T1 · BO3 CS2 · 2026-06-13 FINAL
Natus Vincere
Natus Vincere
WINNER
2 : 1
SERIES COMPLETE
The MongolZ
The MongolZ
CHALLENGER

Prediction breakdown

✓ CORRECT CALL
Natus Vincere 65% The MongolZ 35%
WHY — TOP FEATURE DRIVERS (SHAP)
Ensemble mean +0.404
PHANTOM +0.124
PHANTOM confidence -0.058
SHADOW BET 10.5u @ 1.593 → +6.2u half-Kelly sizing · paper only
ALL MODEL PREDICTIONS
ORACLE v2 Natus Vincere 76%
PHANTOM v2 Natus Vincere 64%
TITAN v2 Natus Vincere 65%

OUTCOME PROBABILITY

65%
Natus Vincere
MODEL ODDS
0.65
BET ODDS
1.593

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM
anubis 20% Natus Vincere
ancient 70% Natus Vincere
dust2 35% Natus Vincere
inferno 34% Natus Vincere
mirage 54% Natus Vincere
nuke 54% Natus Vincere
Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.
PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS
ancient 16 – 13 Natus Vincere took the map.
mirage 13 – 6 Natus Vincere took the map.
nuke 8 – 13 The MongolZ took the map.

No Demo Data

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