Fluxo vs BESTIA — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-30

Fluxo

0 : 2

BESTIA wins

BESTIA Winner

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Fluxo	vs	BESTIA	Edge
anubis	33% (7/21)		56% (59/105)	-23pp
overpass	45% (10/22)		63% (27/43)	-18pp
ancient	66% (82/124)		52% (65/124)	+14pp
dust2	54% (35/65)		62% (58/93)	-8pp
inferno	53% (55/104)		60% (84/139)	-7pp
nuke	61% (83/135)		57% (62/108)	+4pp
mirage	58% (81/139)		60% (73/121)	-2pp
vertigo	56% (29/52)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Fluxo bans

anubis 33% WR

overpass 45% WR

BESTIA bans

ancient 52% WR

nuke 57% WR

Fluxo pick

mirage

49% — Fluxo favored

Decider

inferno

53% BESTIA

Decider

vertigo

BESTIA pick

dust2

53% — BESTIA favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

anubis

37%

63%

BESTIA

overpass

42%

58%

BESTIA

ancient

56%

44%

Fluxo

dust2

47%

53%

even

inferno

47%

53%

even

nuke

52%

48%

even

mirage

49%

51%

even

Fluxo on left · BESTIA on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Fluxo
MVP exit	26	31	5	65%	73.2	54.1%	0.87	—
dav1deuS	24	31	7	50%	77.8	56.8%	0.86	—
zevy	16	30	12	31%	61.2	64.9%	0.71	—
Lucaozy	18	33	3	44%	52.2	40.5%	0.48	—
Ltz	16	36	7	63%	65.0	37.8%	0.42	—
BESTIA WIN
MVP timo	39	17	7	56%	105.3	81.1%	1.68	—
nacho	32	19	12	66%	102.2	83.8%	1.51	—
cass1n	32	22	12	31%	107.5	83.8%	1.48	—
tomaszin	31	23	11	42%	91.4	81.1%	1.37	—
buda	28	21	14	36%	94.9	83.8%	1.37	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Fluxo
exit	12	14	1	75%	76.5	56.3%	0.91	—
zevy	8	13	7	38%	74.8	68.8%	0.85	—
dav1deuS	7	15	3	57%	59.6	43.8%	0.47	—
Lucaozy	8	14	0	25%	49.7	31.3%	0.41	—
Ltz	5	16	3	60%	54.1	31.3%	0.22	—
BESTIA WIN
nacho	19	8	8	68%	146.9	93.8%	2.03	—
cass1n	16	9	7	31%	124.1	93.8%	1.75	—
timo	14	7	2	50%	78.2	81.3%	1.44	—
tomaszin	13	9	7	23%	98.5	81.3%	1.42	—
buda	10	8	6	40%	81.9	87.5%	1.27	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Fluxo
dav1deuS	17	16	4	47%	91.6	66.7%	1.15	—
exit	14	17	4	57%	70.7	52.4%	0.83	—
zevy	8	17	5	25%	50.9	61.9%	0.60	—
Ltz	11	20	4	64%	73.3	42.9%	0.57	—
Lucaozy	10	19	3	60%	54.1	47.6%	0.53	—
BESTIA WIN
timo	25	10	5	60%	125.9	81.0%	1.85	—
buda	18	13	8	33%	104.8	81.0%	1.44	—
tomaszin	18	14	4	56%	85.9	81.0%	1.33	—
cass1n	16	13	5	31%	94.9	76.2%	1.27	—
nacho	13	11	4	62%	68.2	76.2%	1.11	—

Teams

Players in this match

timo nacho cass1n tomaszin buda exit dav1deuS zevy Lucaozy Ltz