SemperFi vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-05-27

SemperFi Winner

2 : 0

SemperFi wins

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	SemperFi	vs	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	Edge
overpass	57% (8/14)		86% (6/7)	-29pp
nuke	64% (27/42)		86% (19/22)	-22pp
inferno	60% (28/47)		79% (19/24)	-19pp
anubis	62% (10/16)		75% (12/16)	-13pp
mirage	73% (44/60)		80% (4/5)	-7pp
dust2	71% (24/34)		64% (9/14)	+7pp
ancient	59% (17/29)		60% (6/10)	-1pp
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

SemperFi bans

overpass 57% WR

inferno 60% WR

THUNDER dOWNUNDER bans

ancient 60% WR

dust2 64% WR

SemperFi pick

mirage

48% — SemperFi favored

Decider

anubis

55% THUNDER dOWNUNDER

Decider

vertigo

THUNDER dOWNUNDER pick

nuke

57% — THUNDER dOWNUNDER favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

40%

60%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

nuke

43%

57%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

inferno

43%

57%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

anubis

45%

55%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

mirage

48%

52%

even

dust2

53%

47%

even

ancient

50%

even

SemperFi on left · THUNDER dOWNUNDER on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SemperFi WIN
MVP keen	41	29	9	34%	92.5	83.7%	1.39	—
shadiy RIFLER	42	30	3	50%	86.7	65.3%	1.24	8.4
hazr RIFLER	35	26	5	77%	76.5	71.4%	1.17	8.2
SaVage	27	28	11	67%	64.5	69.4%	0.97	—
sliimey RIFLER	21	28	13	52%	57.1	71.4%	0.86	7.8
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
MVP asap RIFLER	34	31	13	47%	82.1	75.5%	1.16	8.2
Liazz RIFLER	34	31	11	50%	74.1	69.4%	1.09	8.8
aliStair AWP	29	34	7	38%	59.6	61.2%	0.86	8.8
dexter ENTRY	25	38	8	52%	68.1	51.0%	0.70	8.1
TjP ENTRY	18	32	6	56%	42.5	55.1%	0.58	7.9

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SemperFi WIN
hazr	22	14	2	73%	91.1	80.0%	1.41	8.2
Shadiy	24	14	2	54%	99.5	60.0%	1.36	8.4
keen	18	16	6	28%	81.9	92.0%	1.30	—
SaVage	15	13	0	60%	63.3	72.0%	1.03	—
sliimey	10	14	8	70%	59.1	72.0%	0.86	7.8
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
asap	17	16	4	41%	78.9	76.0%	1.13	8.2
Liazz	15	16	5	73%	71.2	64.0%	0.95	8.8
dexter	16	20	5	50%	72.9	52.0%	0.82	8.1
TjP	10	17	5	60%	52.1	56.0%	0.64	7.9
aliStair	10	18	1	10%	40.4	52.0%	0.54	8.8

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
SemperFi WIN
keen	23	13	3	39%	103.5	75.0%	1.49	—
Shadiy	18	16	1	44%	73.3	70.8%	1.11	8.4
hazr	13	12	3	85%	61.3	62.5%	0.93	8.2
SaVage	12	15	11	75%	65.8	66.7%	0.90	—
sliimey	11	14	5	36%	55.1	70.8%	0.86	7.8
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Liazz	19	15	6	32%	77.1	75.0%	1.23	8.8
asap	17	15	9	53%	85.4	75.0%	1.20	8.2
aliStair	19	16	6	53%	79.7	70.8%	1.19	8.8
dexter	9	18	3	56%	63.2	50.0%	0.57	8.1
TjP	8	15	1	50%	32.5	54.2%	0.52	7.9

Teams

Players in this match

keen shadiy hazr asap Liazz SaVage sliimey aliStair dexter TjP