THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest

T1 BO3 CS2 2026-06-04

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

0 : 2

FlyQuest wins

FlyQuest Winner

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	vs	FlyQuest	Edge
overpass	86% (6/7)		33% (2/6)	+53pp
nuke	86% (19/22)		41% (13/32)	+45pp
mirage	80% (4/5)		52% (16/31)	+28pp
inferno	79% (19/24)		59% (30/51)	+20pp
dust2	64% (9/14)		61% (25/41)	+3pp
anubis	75% (12/16)		72% (29/40)	+3pp
ancient	60% (6/10)		60% (25/42)	0pp
vertigo	—	·	62% (5/8)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

THUNDER dOWNUNDER bans

ancient 60% WR

dust2 64% WR

FlyQuest bans

overpass 33% WR

nuke 41% WR

THUNDER dOWNUNDER pick

mirage

61% — THUNDER dOWNUNDER favored

Decider

inferno

57% THUNDER dOWNUNDER

Decider

vertigo

FlyQuest pick

anubis

49% — FlyQuest favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

72%

28%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

nuke

68%

32%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

mirage

61%

39%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

inferno

57%

43%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

dust2

51%

49%

even

anubis

51%

49%

even

ancient

50%

even

THUNDER dOWNUNDER on left · FlyQuest on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
MVP aliStair	26	28	13	27%	73.2	71.8%	1.05	—
asap RIFLER	24	30	10	58%	83.6	59.0%	0.91	8.2
dexter	26	34	4	42%	79.6	59.0%	0.87	—
Liazz	21	31	7	57%	66.0	59.0%	0.76	—
TjP	18	32	5	44%	55.7	46.2%	0.55	—
FlyQuest WIN
MVP jks RIFLER	39	25	11	51%	103.8	76.9%	1.51	9.2
Vexite RIFLER	36	21	5	67%	105.1	74.4%	1.46	8.5
nettik SUPPORT	31	22	8	71%	92.3	71.8%	1.29	8.7
story AWP	27	20	5	30%	74.8	69.2%	1.14	9.0
INS	24	29	21	29%	73.8	71.8%	1.01	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
aliStair	10	13	6	40%	70.8	62.5%	0.89	—
dexter	10	14	2	70%	80.4	56.3%	0.82	—
asap	10	14	2	70%	81.1	50.0%	0.77	8.2
Liazz	9	13	1	67%	71.8	56.3%	0.76	—
TjP	2	15	1	50%	24.0	25.0%	0.00	—
FlyQuest WIN
jks	20	11	5	55%	122.8	81.3%	1.79	9.2
nettik	16	8	4	69%	111.4	75.0%	1.59	8.7
Vexite	13	6	1	69%	90.3	75.0%	1.41	8.5
story	11	6	2	36%	79.7	75.0%	1.27	9.0
INS	11	12	11	18%	79.6	75.0%	1.13	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
aliStair	16	15	7	19%	74.8	78.3%	1.16	—
asap	14	16	8	50%	85.3	65.2%	1.00	8.2
TjP	16	17	4	44%	77.7	60.9%	0.98	—
dexter	16	20	2	25%	79.0	60.9%	0.91	—
Liazz	12	18	6	50%	62.0	60.9%	0.76	—
FlyQuest WIN
Vexite	23	15	4	65%	115.4	73.9%	1.50	8.5
jks	19	14	6	47%	90.6	73.9%	1.31	9.2
nettik	15	14	4	73%	78.9	69.6%	1.08	8.7
story	16	14	3	25%	71.4	65.2%	1.06	9.0
INS	13	17	10	38%	69.7	69.6%	0.93	—

Teams

Players in this match

jks Vexite nettik story aliStair INS asap dexter Liazz TjP