OG vs Just Players — CounterQuant

T1 BO3 CS2 2026-05-30

OG Winner

2 : 0

OG wins

Just Players

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	OG	vs	Just Players	Edge
anubis	47% (28/59)		100% (2/2)	-53pp
nuke	63% (45/71)		25% (2/8)	+38pp
mirage	54% (58/107)		69% (9/13)	-15pp
dust2	39% (19/49)		50% (4/8)	-11pp
overpass	55% (32/58)		50% (3/6)	+5pp
ancient	58% (90/155)		60% (6/10)	-2pp
inferno	50% (56/113)	·	—
vertigo	39% (11/28)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

OG bans

dust2 39% WR

mirage 54% WR

Just Players bans

nuke 25% WR

overpass 50% WR

OG pick

ancient

49% — OG favored

Decider

anubis

68% Just Players

Decider

vertigo

Just Players pick

inferno

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

anubis

32%

68%

Just Players

nuke

72%

28%

mirage

44%

56%

Just Players

dust2

44%

56%

Just Players

overpass

52%

48%

even

ancient

49%

51%

even

OG on left · Just Players on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
OG WIN
MVP spooke RIFLER	48	34	9	50%	92.2	72.7%	1.33	8.3
cadiaN	48	39	14	23%	95.2	69.1%	1.27	—
bodyy RIFLER	36	39	18	58%	74.5	72.7%	1.05	8.6
pr1metapz	34	36	13	50%	65.5	76.4%	1.04	—
adamb RIFLER	37	43	12	43%	64.0	63.6%	0.92	8.5
Just Players
MVP sstiNiX	47	34	12	55%	92.0	76.4%	1.34	—
Something	45	42	9	62%	92.1	72.7%	1.20	—
SM3T	34	42	13	26%	71.0	63.6%	0.90	—
H1TE	33	38	17	15%	65.4	58.2%	0.88	—
spirit	28	44	9	61%	55.0	58.2%	0.69	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
OG WIN
spooke	30	15	4	50%	102.4	84.0%	1.74	8.3
cadiaN	20	16	8	25%	83.9	76.0%	1.27	—
adamb	23	18	3	39%	68.2	72.0%	1.23	8.5
bodyy	13	19	11	46%	66.8	84.0%	0.98	8.6
pr1metapz	11	19	6	18%	42.4	72.0%	0.72	—
Just Players
sstiNiX	20	16	4	55%	81.2	68.0%	1.18	—
Something	18	21	4	39%	78.2	76.0%	1.06	—
SM3T	18	19	5	22%	68.6	72.0%	1.04	—
spirit	14	19	6	64%	60.5	64.0%	0.83	—
H1TE	14	19	7	14%	54.9	64.0%	0.81	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
OG WIN
pr1metapz	23	17	7	65%	84.7	80.0%	1.30	—
cadiaN	28	23	6	21%	104.6	63.3%	1.28	—
bodyy	23	20	7	65%	80.8	63.3%	1.11	8.6
spooke	18	19	5	50%	83.6	63.3%	0.99	8.3
adamb	14	25	9	50%	60.5	56.7%	0.66	8.5
Just Players
sstiNiX	27	18	8	56%	101.0	83.3%	1.48	—
Something	27	21	5	78%	103.6	70.0%	1.33	—
H1TE	19	19	10	16%	74.1	53.3%	0.93	—
SM3T	16	23	8	31%	73.0	56.7%	0.79	—
spirit	14	25	3	57%	50.4	53.3%	0.58	—

Teams

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Just Players

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Players in this match

sstiNiX spooke cadiaN Something bodyy pr1metapz adamb SM3T H1TE spirit