Wildcard vs FOKUS — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-24

Wildcard Winner

2 : 1

Wildcard wins

FOKUS

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Wildcard	vs	FOKUS	Edge
ancient	57% (52/92)		100% (17/17)	-43pp
overpass	59% (32/54)		83% (5/6)	-24pp
mirage	62% (26/42)		53% (8/15)	+9pp
nuke	63% (51/81)		55% (6/11)	+8pp
dust2	52% (35/67)		44% (8/18)	+8pp
inferno	57% (48/84)		54% (7/13)	+3pp
anubis	65% (33/51)	·	—
vertigo	64% (21/33)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Wildcard bans

dust2 52% WR

ancient 57% WR

FOKUS bans

mirage 53% WR

inferno 54% WR

Wildcard pick

nuke

53% — Wildcard favored

Decider

anubis

Decider

vertigo

FOKUS pick

overpass

58% — FOKUS favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

36%

64%

FOKUS

overpass

42%

58%

FOKUS

mirage

54%

46%

even

nuke

53%

47%

even

dust2

54%

46%

even

inferno

51%

49%

even

Wildcard on left · FOKUS on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Wildcard WIN
MVP HexT RIFLER	58	38	10	52%	91.2	76.2%	1.40	8.9
mhL AWP	51	40	15	39%	87.9	71.4%	1.25	9.2
nEMANHA ENTRY	44	43	14	48%	67.8	73.0%	1.07	8.5
reck RIFLER	42	40	16	48%	64.3	73.0%	1.06	8.8
Cxzi ENTRY	38	42	16	47%	64.6	68.3%	0.96	8.5
FOKUS
MVP Jorko AWP	52	45	12	46%	84.1	66.7%	1.17	8.6
Matheos RIFLER	47	50	9	51%	71.9	61.9%	0.98	8.4
Banjo RIFLER	34	43	13	53%	63.4	69.8%	0.90	8.5
volt SUPPORT	36	46	11	67%	66.3	61.9%	0.85	8.2
ztr ENTRY	33	49	12	42%	54.0	55.6%	0.70	8.0

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Wildcard WIN
HexT	22	9	2	50%	113.0	84.2%	1.80	8.9
mhL	16	11	3	56%	94.9	68.4%	1.30	9.2
reck	14	10	6	36%	76.1	79.0%	1.27	8.8
nEMANHA	12	12	5	58%	67.5	73.7%	1.05	8.5
Cxzi	8	11	5	63%	47.9	73.7%	0.83	8.5
FOKUS
Jorko	15	14	7	60%	84.1	63.2%	1.12	8.6
Banjo	9	13	2	89%	72.8	68.4%	0.85	8.5
Matheos	12	14	3	33%	62.8	47.4%	0.78	8.4
ztr	9	15	2	44%	49.5	52.6%	0.60	8.0
volt	7	15	4	71%	53.2	57.9%	0.57	8.2

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Wildcard WIN
mhL	18	11	5	22%	89.3	75.0%	1.40	9.2
nEMANHA	16	10	3	44%	76.0	80.0%	1.33	8.5
HexT	18	12	3	67%	86.3	70.0%	1.32	8.9
reck	13	9	5	62%	71.5	80.0%	1.22	8.8
Cxzi	7	11	7	71%	46.6	60.0%	0.69	8.5
FOKUS
Jorko	15	13	2	47%	81.1	70.0%	1.14	8.6
Matheos	17	15	2	76%	87.5	60.0%	1.12	8.4
Banjo	8	13	6	63%	51.4	70.0%	0.77	8.5
Ztr	8	17	6	50%	45.3	40.0%	0.42	8.0
volt	6	15	1	83%	37.8	50.0%	0.41	8.2

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Wildcard
Cxzi	23	20	4	35%	92.8	70.8%	1.28	8.5
HexT	18	17	5	39%	78.1	75.0%	1.15	8.9
mhL	17	18	7	41%	81.1	70.8%	1.08	9.2
nEMANHA	16	21	6	44%	61.1	66.7%	0.88	8.5
reck	15	21	5	47%	48.9	62.5%	0.77	8.8
FOKUS WIN
volt	23	16	6	61%	100.5	75.0%	1.43	8.2
Jorko	22	18	3	36%	86.6	66.7%	1.23	8.6
Banjo	17	17	5	29%	66.0	70.8%	1.05	8.5
Matheos	18	21	4	39%	66.0	75.0%	1.02	8.4
ztr	16	17	4	38%	64.7	70.8%	1.00	8.0

Teams

Players in this match

HexT mhL Jorko nEMANHA reck Matheos Cxzi Banjo volt ztr