FOKUS vs Inner Circle — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-24

FOKUS Winner

2 : 1

FOKUS wins

Inner Circle

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	FOKUS	vs	Inner Circle	Edge
ancient	100% (17/17)		45% (19/42)	+55pp
overpass	83% (5/6)		29% (4/14)	+54pp
dust2	44% (8/18)		56% (18/32)	-12pp
nuke	55% (6/11)		45% (15/33)	+10pp
mirage	53% (8/15)		57% (26/46)	-4pp
inferno	54% (7/13)	·	—
anubis	—	·	56% (5/9)
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

FOKUS bans

dust2 44% WR

mirage 53% WR

Inner Circle bans

overpass 29% WR

ancient 45% WR

FOKUS pick

nuke

55% — FOKUS favored

Decider

anubis

Decider

vertigo

Inner Circle pick

inferno

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

69%

31%

FOKUS

overpass

74%

26%

FOKUS

dust2

44%

56%

Inner Circle

nuke

55%

45%

FOKUS

mirage

48%

52%

even

FOKUS on left · Inner Circle on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FOKUS WIN
MVP Matheos RIFLER	62	54	19	55%	94.4	71.4%	1.27	8.4
Jorko AWP	57	54	15	37%	82.8	64.3%	1.11	8.6
Banjo RIFLER	46	56	19	48%	70.8	58.6%	0.88	8.5
ztr ENTRY	42	55	16	50%	64.9	67.1%	0.88	8.0
volt SUPPORT	42	58	14	55%	70.7	55.7%	0.79	8.2
Inner Circle
MVP headtr1ck AWP	66	48	14	35%	98.0	72.9%	1.38	9.1
cptkurtka023 ENTRY	63	46	14	59%	91.2	72.9%	1.33	7.7
Dawy RIFLER	56	54	18	61%	85.4	67.1%	1.13	8.1
zeRRoFIX RIFLER	48	50	18	56%	76.4	62.9%	1.00	8.0
onic ENTRY	40	50	15	50%	60.8	70.0%	0.90	7.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FOKUS WIN
Matheos	30	19	5	53%	106.3	83.3%	1.55	8.4
Jorko	28	20	5	36%	99.7	73.3%	1.38	8.6
volt	19	23	9	47%	77.1	66.7%	0.96	8.2
Banjo	16	20	7	63%	69.7	56.7%	0.83	8.5
Ztr	14	21	9	43%	52.4	70.0%	0.80	8.0
Inner Circle
cptkurtka023	24	20	5	50%	80.3	66.7%	1.16	7.7
zeRRoFIX	22	20	8	59%	82.8	66.7%	1.12	8.0
Dawy	21	23	11	71%	87.1	73.3%	1.11	8.1
headtr1ck	20	23	7	30%	81.0	63.3%	0.97	9.1
onic	16	21	5	50%	57.1	66.7%	0.84	7.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FOKUS
volt	12	17	3	83%	83.3	52.6%	0.80	8.2
Banjo	11	16	6	36%	70.1	52.6%	0.75	8.5
Ztr	10	17	2	80%	65.4	52.6%	0.64	8.0
Matheos	9	16	4	67%	63.4	47.4%	0.59	8.4
Jorko	9	16	2	44%	55.6	36.8%	0.48	8.6
Inner Circle WIN
cptkurtka023	22	8	2	73%	112.6	79.0%	1.79	7.7
Dawy	20	12	3	60%	101.4	79.0%	1.55	8.1
zeRRoFIX	16	10	5	56%	99.6	73.7%	1.39	8.0
headtr1ck	13	9	4	38%	77.6	73.7%	1.21	9.1
onic	10	13	8	60%	71.6	68.4%	0.92	7.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FOKUS WIN
Matheos	23	19	10	52%	105.6	76.2%	1.47	8.4
Jorko	20	18	8	35%	83.2	76.2%	1.29	8.6
Ztr	18	17	5	39%	82.3	76.2%	1.21	8.0
Banjo	19	20	6	42%	73.2	66.7%	1.09	8.5
volt	11	18	2	36%	50.2	42.9%	0.54	8.2
Inner Circle
headtr1ck	33	16	3	36%	140.9	85.7%	2.11	9.1
cptkurtka023	17	18	7	53%	87.4	76.2%	1.17	7.7
onic	14	16	2	43%	56.2	76.2%	0.98	7.7
Dawy	15	19	4	47%	68.6	47.6%	0.78	8.1
zeRRoFIX	10	20	5	50%	46.1	47.6%	0.49	8.0

Teams

Players in this match

headtr1ck cptkurtka023 Matheos Dawy Jorko zeRRoFIX onic Banjo ztr volt