FOKUS vs Rebels — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-22

FOKUS Winner

2 : 0

FOKUS wins

Rebels

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	FOKUS	vs	Rebels	Edge
ancient	100% (17/17)		46% (39/84)	+54pp
overpass	83% (5/6)		47% (7/15)	+36pp
mirage	53% (8/15)		39% (17/44)	+14pp
inferno	54% (7/13)		43% (10/23)	+11pp
dust2	44% (8/18)		54% (28/52)	-10pp
nuke	55% (6/11)		48% (47/98)	+7pp
anubis	—	·	50% (24/48)
vertigo	—	·	59% (19/32)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

FOKUS bans

dust2 44% WR

inferno 54% WR

Rebels bans

mirage 39% WR

ancient 46% WR

FOKUS pick

overpass

64% — FOKUS favored

Decider

anubis

Decider

vertigo

Rebels pick

nuke

47% — Rebels favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

68%

32%

FOKUS

overpass

64%

36%

FOKUS

mirage

58%

42%

FOKUS

inferno

56%

44%

FOKUS

dust2

45%

55%

Rebels

nuke

53%

47%

even

FOKUS on left · Rebels on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FOKUS WIN
MVP Matheos RIFLER	38	16	6	45%	100.4	80.6%	1.66	8.4
Jorko AWP	27	13	15	41%	93.4	91.7%	1.53	8.6
Banjo RIFLER	33	19	7	45%	88.9	72.2%	1.40	8.5
volt SUPPORT	23	14	7	61%	63.4	91.7%	1.30	8.2
ztr ENTRY	23	19	11	57%	74.4	80.6%	1.19	8.0
Rebels
MVP NOPEEj RIFLER	20	27	10	55%	68.5	61.1%	0.84	5.9
TMKj RIFLER	20	26	2	55%	61.8	44.4%	0.69	5.8
snapy ENTRY	18	32	13	50%	72.6	52.8%	0.67	4.3
Icarus RIFLER	14	32	6	36%	54.8	38.9%	0.40	5.4
stadodo AWP	9	28	6	56%	39.3	47.2%	0.35	6.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FOKUS WIN
Matheos	24	10	3	50%	100.8	77.3%	1.66	8.4
Jorko	13	9	7	46%	70.9	90.9%	1.28	8.6
volt	13	10	4	62%	60.0	90.9%	1.20	8.2
Ztr	14	12	6	64%	77.9	72.7%	1.13	8.0
Banjo	15	14	5	40%	70.3	63.6%	1.02	8.5
Rebels
NOPEEj	16	14	6	50%	85.1	68.2%	1.15	5.9
snapy	15	19	7	47%	91.6	59.1%	0.95	4.3
TMKJ	12	13	2	67%	62.6	50.0%	0.79	5.8
Icarus	8	19	5	38%	57.1	40.9%	0.42	5.4
stadodo	4	15	4	75%	29.9	54.6%	0.37	6.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FOKUS WIN
Banjo	18	5	2	50%	118.2	85.7%	2.00	8.5
Jorko	14	4	8	36%	128.9	92.9%	1.92	8.6
Matheos	14	6	3	36%	99.9	85.7%	1.66	8.4
volt	10	4	3	60%	68.9	92.9%	1.45	8.2
Ztr	9	7	5	44%	69.0	92.9%	1.29	8.0
Rebels
TMKJ	8	13	0	38%	60.6	35.7%	0.52	5.8
Icarus	6	13	1	33%	51.3	35.7%	0.37	5.4
NOPEEj	4	13	4	75%	42.4	50.0%	0.34	5.9
stadodo	5	13	2	40%	54.2	35.7%	0.32	6.4
snapy	3	13	6	67%	42.8	42.9%	0.24	4.3

Teams

Players in this match

Matheos Jorko Banjo volt ztr NOPEEj TMKj snapy Icarus stadodo