Inner Circle vs OG — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-22

Inner Circle Winner

2 : 1

Inner Circle wins

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Inner Circle	vs	OG	Edge
overpass	29% (4/14)		55% (32/58)	-26pp
nuke	45% (15/33)		63% (45/71)	-18pp
dust2	56% (18/32)		39% (19/49)	+17pp
ancient	45% (19/42)		58% (90/155)	-13pp
anubis	56% (5/9)		47% (28/59)	+9pp
mirage	57% (26/46)		54% (58/107)	+3pp
inferno	—	·	50% (56/113)
vertigo	—	·	39% (11/28)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Inner Circle bans

overpass 29% WR

nuke 45% WR

OG bans

dust2 39% WR

anubis 47% WR

Inner Circle pick

mirage

51% — Inner Circle favored

Decider

inferno

Decider

vertigo

OG pick

ancient

56% — OG favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

35%

65%

nuke

42%

58%

dust2

59%

41%

Inner Circle

ancient

44%

56%

anubis

54%

46%

even

mirage

51%

49%

even

Inner Circle on left · OG on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Inner Circle WIN
MVP zeRRoFIX RIFLER	50	39	14	54%	85.6	73.3%	1.27	8.0
Dawy RIFLER	45	43	16	58%	83.1	75.0%	1.17	8.1
onic ENTRY	43	41	19	44%	83.2	71.7%	1.14	7.7
cptkurtka023 ENTRY	36	43	14	53%	73.4	70.0%	0.97	7.7
headtr1ck AWP	33	39	12	33%	65.3	65.0%	0.89	9.1
OG
MVP adamb RIFLER	57	42	11	58%	102.6	70.0%	1.37	8.5
cadiaN AWP	46	38	12	39%	83.7	71.7%	1.20	8.5
bodyy RIFLER	43	44	15	56%	79.7	70.0%	1.08	8.6
spooke RIFLER	33	43	22	64%	71.0	71.7%	0.94	8.3
pr1metapz RIFLER	26	43	6	65%	45.6	60.0%	0.65	7.0

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Inner Circle WIN
zeRRoFIX	20	10	7	55%	100.7	79.0%	1.63	8.0
headtr1ck	19	11	3	37%	107.1	79.0%	1.55	9.1
onic	14	10	5	57%	81.5	73.7%	1.24	7.7
Dawy	14	12	3	57%	74.1	79.0%	1.19	8.1
cptkurtka023	11	12	5	36%	75.0	57.9%	0.91	7.7
OG
cadiaN	13	14	3	8%	84.4	52.6%	0.93	8.5
adamb	14	16	3	50%	70.7	57.9%	0.91	8.5
bodyy	11	16	2	45%	68.2	57.9%	0.76	8.6
spooke	10	16	4	70%	73.5	47.4%	0.67	8.3
pr1metapz	6	16	3	67%	42.5	47.4%	0.38	7.0

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Inner Circle WIN
cptkurtka023	20	17	4	60%	95.9	82.6%	1.35	7.7
Dawy	16	18	11	63%	93.7	73.9%	1.13	8.1
onic	18	17	7	44%	88.0	65.2%	1.13	7.7
zeRRoFIX	17	15	3	65%	80.4	69.6%	1.13	8.0
headtr1ck	10	17	6	30%	55.5	65.2%	0.72	9.1
OG
adamb	21	15	5	71%	109.9	78.3%	1.45	8.5
cadiaN	19	17	7	42%	93.0	69.6%	1.22	8.5
spooke	15	16	4	73%	70.0	82.6%	1.10	8.3
bodyy	16	19	9	50%	77.6	65.2%	0.99	8.6
pr1metapz	12	15	1	75%	54.2	65.2%	0.82	7.0

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Inner Circle
Dawy	15	13	2	53%	79.2	72.2%	1.19	8.1
zeRRoFIX	13	14	4	38%	76.3	72.2%	1.07	8.0
onic	11	14	7	27%	78.8	77.8%	1.03	7.7
cptkurtka023	5	14	5	60%	42.9	66.7%	0.54	7.7
headtr1ck	4	11	3	25%	33.9	50.0%	0.42	9.1
OG WIN
adamb	22	11	3	50%	126.9	72.2%	1.74	8.5
bodyy	16	9	4	69%	94.6	88.9%	1.54	8.6
cadiaN	14	7	2	64%	71.2	94.4%	1.46	8.5
spooke	8	11	14	38%	69.7	83.3%	1.03	8.3
pr1metapz	8	12	2	50%	37.7	66.7%	0.71	7.0

Teams

Inner Circle

View team →

Players in this match

adamb zeRRoFIX cadiaN Dawy onic bodyy cptkurtka023 spooke headtr1ck pr1metapz