STATE vs Invicta — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-23

STATE Winner

2 : 0

STATE wins

Invicta

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	STATE	vs	Invicta	Edge
nuke	70% (14/20)		0% (0/2)	+70pp
inferno	44% (8/18)		0% (0/1)	+44pp
ancient	39% (7/18)		0% (0/1)	+39pp
mirage	29% (5/17)		50% (1/2)	-21pp
dust2	—	·	0% (0/1)
anubis	20% (1/5)	·	—
overpass	61% (11/18)	·	—
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Per-Map Win Probability

nuke

100%

STATE

inferno

100%

STATE

ancient

100%

STATE

mirage

37%

63%

Invicta

Veto simulation requires ≥4 maps with data for both teams (min. 3 maps played each).

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
STATE WIN
MVP Zanto RIFLER	35	17	8	49%	86.1	80.0%	1.47	4.9
Patti ENTRY	36	28	14	67%	96.8	82.5%	1.41	3.6
sL1m3 AWP	32	20	7	31%	78.2	70.0%	1.27	5.4
thamlike SUPPORT	26	22	6	69%	74.0	75.0%	1.13	5.1
kwezz RIFLER	27	31	12	44%	86.8	67.5%	1.03	5.1
Invicta
MVP SinK	31	28	7	55%	92.4	65.0%	1.15	—
Teelz	23	30	7	35%	64.8	70.0%	0.90	—
Griller RIFLER	23	28	5	70%	72.5	57.5%	0.85	—
sl1ze7	19	32	8	47%	59.6	62.5%	0.71	—
ARTlE	18	37	8	67%	56.9	42.5%	0.47	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
STATE WIN
Zanto	19	5	4	47%	114.8	93.8%	2.00	4.9
Patti	17	10	7	59%	108.8	93.8%	1.72	3.6
sL1m3	17	7	1	35%	101.6	75.0%	1.63	5.4
kwezz	9	12	7	56%	81.1	68.8%	0.95	5.1
thamlike	7	8	3	100%	53.4	75.0%	0.91	5.1
Invicta
Griller	9	11	2	67%	75.8	62.5%	0.89	—
Teelz	9	13	2	33%	65.4	68.8%	0.84	—
SinK	9	15	3	56%	78.8	50.0%	0.68	—
sl1ze7	8	15	4	38%	64.3	56.3%	0.64	—
ARTlE	7	16	2	71%	56.8	37.5%	0.38	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
STATE WIN
thamlike	19	14	3	58%	87.8	75.0%	1.28	5.1
Patti	19	18	7	74%	88.7	75.0%	1.21	3.6
Zanto	16	12	4	50%	66.9	70.8%	1.12	4.9
kwezz	18	19	5	39%	90.6	66.7%	1.09	5.1
sL1m3	15	13	6	27%	62.6	66.7%	1.03	5.4
Invicta
SinK	22	13	4	55%	101.4	75.0%	1.45	—
Teelz	14	17	5	36%	64.4	70.8%	0.93	—
Griller	14	17	3	71%	70.3	54.2%	0.82	—
sl1ze7	11	17	4	55%	56.5	66.7%	0.76	—
ARTlE	11	21	6	64%	57.0	45.8%	0.53	—

Teams

Players in this match

Zanto Patti sL1m3 SinK thamlike kwezz Teelz Griller sl1ze7 ARTlE