100 Thieves vs Ursa — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-04

100 Thieves Winner

2 : 0

100 Thieves wins

Ursa

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	100 Thieves	vs	Ursa	Edge
ancient	68% (15/22)		0% (0/1)	+68pp
inferno	72% (18/25)		40% (12/30)	+32pp
anubis	40% (2/5)		64% (7/11)	-24pp
nuke	62% (15/24)		42% (22/53)	+20pp
overpass	67% (2/3)		48% (11/23)	+19pp
dust2	73% (19/26)		64% (43/67)	+9pp
mirage	50% (7/14)		46% (19/41)	+4pp
vertigo	50% (5/10)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

100 Thieves bans

anubis 40% WR

mirage 50% WR

Ursa bans

inferno 40% WR

nuke 42% WR

100 Thieves pick

dust2

53% — 100 Thieves favored

Decider

ancient

100% 100 Thieves

Decider

vertigo

Ursa pick

overpass

42% — Ursa favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

100%

100 Thieves

inferno

64%

36%

100 Thieves

anubis

38%

62%

Ursa

nuke

60%

40%

100 Thieves

overpass

58%

42%

100 Thieves

dust2

53%

47%

even

mirage

52%

48%

even

100 Thieves on left · Ursa on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
100 Thieves WIN
MVP dev1ce	42	27	11	31%	98.5	77.1%	1.42	—
rain	34	33	21	62%	88.9	64.6%	1.11	—
Ag1l	33	27	6	52%	69.2	68.8%	1.09	—
poiii RIFLER	31	30	6	55%	61.7	64.6%	0.97	8.0
sirah RIFLER	29	33	6	45%	67.7	66.7%	0.93	7.9
Ursa
MVP Alv	31	25	6	48%	68.3	64.6%	1.05	—
Krad	30	33	10	53%	82.4	68.8%	1.02	—
karnez RIFLER	30	29	4	63%	69.4	54.2%	0.91	6.1
4X1s	26	35	9	50%	66.7	54.2%	0.77	—
Salazar	23	37	6	61%	62.4	50.0%	0.64	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
100 Thieves WIN
dev1ce	21	12	6	38%	97.2	79.2%	1.47	—
Ag1l	19	10	3	42%	78.7	83.3%	1.40	—
poiii	19	15	4	47%	71.5	70.8%	1.18	8.0
sirah	17	17	4	41%	81.8	75.0%	1.12	7.9
rain	16	18	16	69%	92.3	70.8%	1.12	—
Ursa
karnez	19	15	1	68%	85.4	50.0%	1.06	6.1
Salazar	15	21	2	60%	67.5	58.3%	0.79	—
Krad	10	17	6	40%	58.7	66.7%	0.74	—
Alv	10	14	4	40%	49.0	58.3%	0.71	—
4X1s	13	20	5	46%	71.8	50.0%	0.70	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
100 Thieves WIN
dev1ce	21	15	5	24%	99.8	75.0%	1.37	—
rain	18	15	5	56%	85.5	58.3%	1.10	—
Ag1l	14	17	3	64%	59.7	54.2%	0.79	—
poiii	12	15	2	67%	51.9	58.3%	0.76	8.0
sirah	12	16	2	50%	53.6	58.3%	0.74	7.9
Ursa
Alv	21	11	2	52%	87.6	70.8%	1.38	—
Krad	20	16	4	60%	106.0	70.8%	1.30	—
4X1s	13	15	4	54%	61.5	58.3%	0.84	—
karnez	11	14	3	55%	53.4	58.3%	0.76	6.1
Salazar	8	16	4	63%	57.3	41.7%	0.50	—

Teams

Players in this match

dev1ce rain Ag1l Alv Krad poiii sirah karnez 4X1s Salazar