Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-06-01

Ursa Winner

2 : 1

Ursa wins

ex-Zero Tenacity

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Ursa	vs	ex-Zero Tenacity	Edge
anubis	64% (7/11)		43% (6/14)	+21pp
overpass	48% (11/23)		30% (6/20)	+18pp
dust2	64% (43/67)		48% (21/44)	+16pp
inferno	40% (12/30)		54% (19/35)	-14pp
mirage	46% (19/41)		35% (11/31)	+11pp
nuke	42% (22/53)		50% (21/42)	-8pp
ancient	0% (0/1)	·	—
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Ursa bans

inferno 40% WR

nuke 42% WR

ex-Zero Tenacity bans

overpass 30% WR

mirage 35% WR

Ursa pick

dust2

57% — Ursa favored

Decider

ancient

Decider

vertigo

ex-Zero Tenacity pick

anubis

40% — ex-Zero Tenacity favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

anubis

60%

40%

Ursa

overpass

62%

38%

Ursa

dust2

57%

43%

Ursa

inferno

43%

57%

ex-Zero Tenacity

mirage

57%

43%

Ursa

nuke

46%

54%

even

Ursa on left · ex-Zero Tenacity on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Ursa WIN
MVP karnez RIFLER	52	42	16	67%	99.5	71.7%	1.31	6.1
4X1s	48	32	13	46%	86.0	71.7%	1.29	—
Alv	50	39	8	42%	84.3	66.7%	1.21	—
Krad	44	43	11	55%	81.9	73.3%	1.13	—
Salazar	40	38	15	55%	77.5	65.0%	1.05	—
ex-Zero Tenacity
MVP Dragon	47	46	11	60%	90.8	61.7%	1.09	—
Cjoffo RIFLER	39	44	4	69%	83.1	51.7%	0.88	5.5
brutmonster AWP	37	43	8	35%	75.2	51.7%	0.84	5.2
Kind0 RIFLER	38	51	8	53%	73.2	56.7%	0.82	5.2
aVN RIFLER	26	45	10	46%	50.1	55.0%	0.62	4.1

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Ursa WIN
4X1s	17	6	4	41%	97.9	93.8%	1.80	—
Alv	20	9	2	35%	118.4	75.0%	1.78	—
Krad	16	8	2	50%	103.1	87.5%	1.64	—
karnez	12	11	7	42%	101.4	75.0%	1.26	6.1
Salazar	10	9	7	70%	82.0	75.0%	1.16	—
ex-Zero Tenacity
Kind0	13	15	0	62%	88.3	50.0%	0.91	5.2
aVN	10	15	1	50%	67.0	56.3%	0.73	4.1
Dragon	6	14	7	83%	64.7	56.3%	0.58	—
brutmonster	6	14	2	100%	43.3	43.8%	0.39	5.2
Cjoffo	6	15	2	67%	56.1	37.5%	0.35	5.5

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Ursa
Alv	19	16	3	47%	86.6	62.5%	1.14	—
4X1s	17	15	6	29%	91.1	58.3%	1.08	—
karnez	15	17	3	73%	65.3	62.5%	0.90	6.1
Krad	15	21	3	73%	76.8	58.3%	0.82	—
Salazar	9	18	5	56%	53.0	50.0%	0.54	—
ex-Zero Tenacity WIN
Dragon	23	16	2	57%	104.5	62.5%	1.33	—
Cjoffo	20	13	1	75%	94.6	58.3%	1.23	5.5
Kind0	19	19	5	47%	96.6	66.7%	1.14	5.2
brutmonster	15	14	3	33%	77.5	58.3%	0.98	5.2
aVN	11	15	4	36%	48.0	58.3%	0.72	4.1

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Ursa WIN
karnez	25	14	6	76%	139.1	80.0%	1.83	6.1
Salazar	21	11	3	48%	103.3	75.0%	1.57	—
4X1s	14	11	3	71%	70.2	70.0%	1.12	—
Krad	13	14	6	38%	71.1	80.0%	1.09	—
Alv	11	14	3	45%	54.3	65.0%	0.83	—
ex-Zero Tenacity
Dragon	18	16	2	56%	95.3	65.0%	1.20	—
brutmonster	16	15	3	13%	97.9	50.0%	1.05	5.2
Cjoffo	13	16	1	62%	90.9	55.0%	0.89	5.5
aVN	5	15	5	60%	39.2	50.0%	0.39	4.1
Kind0	6	17	3	50%	33.1	50.0%	0.35	5.2

Teams

Players in this match

karnez 4X1s Alv Krad Dragon Salazar Cjoffo brutmonster Kind0 aVN