Rebels vs HAVU — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-05-31

Rebels Winner

2 : 1

Rebels wins

HAVU

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Rebels	HAVU	Edge
dust2	54% (28/52)	40% (17/43)	+14pp
vertigo	59% (19/32)	47% (7/15)	+12pp
mirage	39% (17/44)	28% (16/58)	+11pp
anubis	50% (24/48)	39% (12/31)	+11pp
overpass	47% (7/15)	36% (12/33)	+11pp
ancient	46% (39/84)	38% (21/56)	+8pp
inferno	43% (10/23)	37% (14/38)	+6pp
nuke	48% (47/98)	51% (50/99)	-3pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Rebels bans

mirage 39% WR

inferno 43% WR

HAVU bans

overpass 36% WR

ancient 38% WR

Rebels pick

vertigo

56% — Rebels favored

Decider

dust2

57% Rebels

Decider

anubis

56% Rebels

HAVU pick

nuke

52% — HAVU favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

dust2

57%

43%

Rebels

vertigo

56%

44%

Rebels

mirage

58%

42%

Rebels

anubis

56%

44%

Rebels

overpass

57%

43%

Rebels

ancient

55%

45%

Rebels

inferno

54%

46%

even

nuke

48%

52%

even

Rebels on left · HAVU on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Rebels WIN
MVP NOPEEj RIFLER	52	42	15	58%	96.1	76.6%	1.30	5.9
stadodo AWP	45	35	19	24%	80.8	70.3%	1.18	6.4
TMKj RIFLER	47	41	16	68%	86.4	70.3%	1.17	5.8
Icarus RIFLER	45	34	15	56%	76.0	67.2%	1.14	5.4
snapy	36	44	14	44%	65.4	59.4%	0.85	—
HAVU
MVP p3kko	48	46	14	52%	79.0	64.1%	1.07	—
puuha RIFLER	41	50	16	59%	84.7	62.5%	0.95	2.1
ottob AWP	39	41	11	28%	68.0	60.9%	0.93	3.9
Uli	36	46	13	44%	75.4	62.5%	0.88	—
alxc	32	43	8	63%	61.4	60.9%	0.79	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Rebels
NOPEEJ	15	13	1	53%	93.6	61.1%	1.15	5.9
Stadodo	11	11	8	18%	91.1	61.1%	1.05	6.4
Icarus	10	12	5	50%	72.3	55.6%	0.85	5.4
TMKj	6	15	4	33%	48.4	50.0%	0.45	5.8
snapy	6	16	1	83%	40.3	33.3%	0.25	—
HAVU WIN
alxc	14	8	2	71%	86.1	77.8%	1.35	—
p3kko	16	12	3	56%	87.7	77.8%	1.34	—
Uli	15	13	4	47%	92.4	77.8%	1.28	—
puuha	15	11	0	60%	86.1	66.7%	1.22	2.1
ottob	11	9	3	36%	67.6	72.2%	1.08	3.9

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Rebels WIN
Stadodo	23	11	7	26%	106.1	86.4%	1.70	6.4
NOPEEJ	20	14	9	60%	105.6	68.2%	1.38	5.9
Icarus	17	11	5	59%	79.6	68.2%	1.24	5.4
snapy	12	12	4	0%	62.5	63.6%	0.93	—
TMKj	9	13	7	56%	61.4	81.8%	0.93	5.8
HAVU
p3kko	18	17	3	56%	78.7	63.6%	1.09	—
puuha	11	19	15	55%	95.5	72.7%	0.94	2.1
Uli	12	15	3	33%	67.3	68.2%	0.90	—
ottob	12	14	4	33%	59.0	63.6%	0.87	3.9
alxc	7	15	2	86%	46.4	54.6%	0.53	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Rebels WIN
TMKj	32	13	5	78%	137.7	75.0%	1.93	5.8
NOPEEJ	17	15	5	59%	89.3	95.8%	1.35	5.9
Icarus	18	11	5	56%	75.6	75.0%	1.28	5.4
snapy	18	16	9	61%	87.0	75.0%	1.22	—
Stadodo	11	13	4	27%	49.9	62.5%	0.80	6.4
HAVU
ottob	16	18	4	19%	76.5	50.0%	0.86	3.9
p3kko	14	17	8	43%	72.8	54.2%	0.85	—
puuha	15	20	1	60%	73.7	50.0%	0.76	2.1
alxc	11	20	4	36%	56.6	54.2%	0.61	—
Uli	9	18	6	56%	70.1	45.8%	0.57	—

Teams

Players in this match

NOPEEj stadodo TMKj Icarus p3kko puuha ottob Uli snapy alxc