Leo vs ASTRAL — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-05-31

Leo

1 : 2

ASTRAL wins

ASTRAL Winner

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Leo	vs	ASTRAL	Edge
dust2	62% (48/78)		46% (17/37)	+16pp
ancient	59% (40/68)		50% (20/40)	+9pp
inferno	45% (17/38)		38% (9/24)	+7pp
anubis	43% (15/35)		50% (12/24)	-7pp
nuke	35% (9/26)		38% (14/37)	-3pp
mirage	48% (19/40)		50% (12/24)	-2pp
overpass	54% (7/13)	·	—
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Leo bans

nuke 35% WR

anubis 43% WR

ASTRAL bans

inferno 38% WR

dust2 46% WR

Leo pick

ancient

54% — Leo favored

Decider

overpass

Decider

vertigo

ASTRAL pick

mirage

51% — ASTRAL favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

dust2

57%

43%

Leo

ancient

54%

46%

even

inferno

54%

46%

even

anubis

46%

54%

even

nuke

48%

52%

even

mirage

49%

51%

even

Leo on left · ASTRAL on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo
MVP leri511	50	42	12	42%	99.4	66.7%	1.23	—
marat2k RIFLER	46	41	15	57%	84.2	70.0%	1.17	5.9
amster RIFLER	44	39	11	32%	75.7	65.0%	1.08	5.9
kL1o RIFLER	33	42	15	45%	76.5	66.7%	0.92	5.9
leen	31	41	15	58%	65.0	66.7%	0.86	—
ASTRAL WIN
MVP swiz RIFLER	56	37	14	68%	99.8	71.7%	1.41	5.7
gxx- AWP	41	39	11	37%	67.9	66.7%	1.03	6.1
ray5ive	37	43	20	57%	80.3	71.7%	1.03	—
meowpop	40	43	12	57%	79.2	65.0%	1.00	—
Neqy	35	47	13	69%	71.4	58.3%	0.82	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo
leri511	22	20	4	36%	107.1	68.0%	1.25	—
marat2k	14	17	7	50%	68.1	68.0%	0.93	5.9
kL1o	14	18	5	29%	71.2	64.0%	0.88	5.9
leen	12	15	4	42%	53.0	72.0%	0.87	—
amster	13	19	3	23%	58.7	52.0%	0.69	5.9
ASTRAL WIN
swiz	24	13	4	54%	94.0	68.0%	1.43	5.7
gxx-	20	13	3	25%	79.2	88.0%	1.38	6.1
meowpop	20	17	6	55%	96.2	72.0%	1.25	—
ray5ive	18	16	10	56%	86.6	80.0%	1.24	—
Neqy	9	19	9	56%	58.9	60.0%	0.63	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo
amster	14	14	5	50%	78.8	57.9%	1.01	5.9
leri511	13	15	6	54%	83.2	52.6%	0.91	—
leen	10	16	8	70%	74.7	68.4%	0.85	—
kL1o	8	16	6	88%	78.3	63.2%	0.72	5.9
marat2k	9	17	5	33%	54.8	57.9%	0.62	5.9
ASTRAL WIN
Neqy	21	12	2	76%	109.2	79.0%	1.62	—
swiz	17	12	9	76%	113.5	84.2%	1.52	5.7
meowpop	14	10	4	50%	78.3	73.7%	1.23	—
gxx-	16	11	4	38%	77.3	63.2%	1.21	6.1
ray5ive	13	12	6	46%	91.8	73.7%	1.18	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Leo WIN
marat2k	23	7	3	70%	144.3	87.5%	2.19	5.9
amster	17	6	3	24%	98.3	93.8%	1.80	5.9
leri511	15	7	2	40%	106.6	81.3%	1.59	—
kL1o	11	8	4	36%	82.7	75.0%	1.23	5.9
leen	9	10	3	67%	72.2	56.3%	0.88	—
ASTRAL
swiz	15	12	1	80%	92.3	62.5%	1.23	5.7
ray5ive	6	15	4	83%	56.9	56.3%	0.50	—
meowpop	6	16	2	83%	53.8	43.8%	0.36	—
gxx-	5	15	4	80%	39.3	37.5%	0.26	6.1
Neqy	5	16	2	60%	46.0	31.3%	0.19	—

Teams

Players in this match

swiz leri511 marat2k amster gxx- ray5ive meowpop kL1o leen Neqy