KOLESIE vs ASTRAL — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-05-29

KOLESIE Winner

2 : 0

KOLESIE wins

ASTRAL

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	KOLESIE	vs	ASTRAL	Edge
nuke	68% (23/34)		38% (14/37)	+30pp
ancient	72% (26/36)		50% (20/40)	+22pp
dust2	31% (8/26)		46% (17/37)	-15pp
mirage	58% (19/33)		50% (12/24)	+8pp
inferno	—	·	38% (9/24)
anubis	50% (8/16)		50% (12/24)	0pp
overpass	50% (6/12)	·	—
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

KOLESIE bans

dust2 31% WR

anubis 50% WR

ASTRAL bans

nuke 38% WR

ancient 50% WR

KOLESIE pick

mirage

54% — KOLESIE favored

Decider

overpass

Decider

vertigo

ASTRAL pick

inferno

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

nuke

64%

36%

KOLESIE

ancient

59%

41%

KOLESIE

dust2

40%

60%

ASTRAL

mirage

54%

46%

even

anubis

50%

even

KOLESIE on left · ASTRAL on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
KOLESIE WIN
MVP innocent ENTRY	36	32	13	39%	96.5	69.1%	1.24	6.3
b1elany RIFLER	31	28	9	52%	81.9	78.6%	1.20	7.1
Qlocuu RIFLER	34	31	4	56%	85.0	66.7%	1.14	6.6
ex1st RIFLER	28	29	11	64%	86.3	73.8%	1.11	4.7
fr3nd AWP	28	26	6	46%	72.0	66.7%	1.04	6.9
ASTRAL
MVP meowpop	36	28	11	53%	90.6	64.3%	1.23	—
Neqy	31	30	9	77%	83.7	69.1%	1.11	—
ray5ive	29	33	13	52%	87.0	71.4%	1.07	—
gxx- AWP	25	29	6	56%	70.2	57.1%	0.86	6.1
swiz RIFLER	22	34	8	73%	66.7	66.7%	0.80	5.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
KOLESIE WIN
b1elany	20	15	4	60%	98.0	86.4%	1.45	7.1
innocent	19	17	10	53%	110.3	77.3%	1.36	6.3
Qlocuu	21	17	4	62%	102.9	72.7%	1.35	6.6
fr3nd	13	15	2	31%	65.1	59.1%	0.86	6.9
ex1st	10	15	4	40%	58.2	63.6%	0.76	4.7
ASTRAL
meowpop	25	14	8	48%	115.2	72.7%	1.64	—
ray5ive	16	17	10	50%	97.1	77.3%	1.20	—
Neqy	16	15	5	75%	84.7	72.7%	1.15	—
swiz	11	19	6	73%	64.6	63.6%	0.73	5.7
gxx-	9	16	1	67%	45.7	40.9%	0.48	6.1

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
KOLESIE WIN
ex1st	18	14	7	78%	117.3	85.0%	1.50	4.7
fr3nd	15	11	4	60%	79.7	75.0%	1.24	6.9
innocent	17	15	3	24%	81.4	60.0%	1.11	6.3
b1elany	11	13	5	36%	64.2	70.0%	0.93	7.1
Qlocuu	13	14	0	46%	65.3	60.0%	0.90	6.6
ASTRAL
gxx-	16	13	5	50%	97.1	75.0%	1.29	6.1
Neqy	15	15	4	80%	82.6	65.0%	1.07	—
ray5ive	13	16	3	54%	75.9	65.0%	0.93	—
swiz	11	15	2	73%	69.0	70.0%	0.88	5.7
meowpop	11	14	3	64%	63.6	55.0%	0.78	—

Teams

Players in this match

innocent meowpop b1elany Qlocuu Neqy ex1st ray5ive fr3nd gxx- swiz