Nemesis vs FOKUS — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-31

Nemesis Winner

2 : 1

Nemesis wins

FOKUS

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Nemesis	vs	FOKUS	Edge
ancient	57% (25/44)		100% (17/17)	-43pp
overpass	67% (12/18)		83% (5/6)	-16pp
dust2	56% (20/36)		44% (8/18)	+12pp
nuke	64% (28/44)		55% (6/11)	+9pp
mirage	61% (22/36)		53% (8/15)	+8pp
inferno	61% (17/28)		54% (7/13)	+7pp
anubis	0% (0/1)	·	—
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Nemesis bans

dust2 56% WR

ancient 57% WR

FOKUS bans

mirage 53% WR

inferno 54% WR

Nemesis pick

overpass

45% — Nemesis favored

Decider

anubis

Decider

vertigo

FOKUS pick

nuke

46% — FOKUS favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

36%

64%

FOKUS

overpass

45%

55%

FOKUS

dust2

56%

44%

Nemesis

nuke

54%

46%

even

mirage

54%

46%

even

inferno

53%

47%

even

Nemesis on left · FOKUS on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Nemesis WIN
MVP t3X1Y	57	37	20	51%	94.8	67.2%	1.35	—
r3salt RIFLER	50	41	21	54%	98.8	81.3%	1.34	8.4
SdaimCAT	53	42	16	58%	95.0	75.0%	1.30	—
mag1k3Y	48	39	15	40%	74.8	68.8%	1.15	—
SELLTERRRRRRRRRR	37	45	17	62%	69.0	60.9%	0.88	—
FOKUS
MVP Jorko AWP	43	49	11	28%	87.4	59.4%	0.96	8.6
Matheos RIFLER	45	49	9	62%	78.9	59.4%	0.96	8.4
Banjo7	41	45	13	49%	79.2	60.9%	0.96	—
volt	38	46	9	50%	68.2	56.3%	0.84	—
ztr	30	55	18	60%	65.2	59.4%	0.68	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Nemesis WIN
mag1k3Y	19	12	4	58%	103.9	72.2%	1.50	—
r3salt	15	12	7	53%	103.6	83.3%	1.41	8.4
t3X1Y	16	11	7	63%	94.6	72.2%	1.37	—
SdaimCAT	12	11	5	58%	85.7	77.8%	1.18	—
SELLTERRRRRRRRRR	15	13	1	67%	78.4	55.6%	1.06	—
FOKUS
-Matheos-	16	14	1	63%	100.6	55.6%	1.15	8.4
ztr	14	16	6	57%	107.7	61.1%	1.08	—
Jorko-_-	10	16	5	40%	94.9	66.7%	0.89	8.6
Banjo7	9	16	6	56%	66.6	50.0%	0.63	—
volt	9	15	1	67%	56.6	50.0%	0.60	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Nemesis
SdaimCAT	20	16	7	50%	105.2	65.2%	1.29	—
r3salt	17	15	6	59%	93.0	78.3%	1.25	8.4
t3X1Y	17	15	7	53%	88.7	65.2%	1.14	—
mag1k3Y	12	14	7	33%	54.6	60.9%	0.84	—
SELLTERRRRRRRRRR	13	16	6	54%	63.9	52.2%	0.79	—
FOKUS WIN
Jorko-_-	20	15	3	30%	105.6	65.2%	1.29	8.6
Banjo7	15	15	6	47%	85.4	69.6%	1.09	—
-Matheos-	17	17	3	65%	81.4	65.2%	1.06	8.4
volt	17	15	1	35%	76.0	60.9%	1.05	—
ztr	7	19	6	29%	45.8	52.2%	0.44	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Nemesis WIN
t3X1Y	24	11	6	42%	101.0	65.2%	1.53	—
SdaimCAT	21	15	4	67%	92.2	82.6%	1.42	—
r3salt	18	14	8	50%	100.8	82.6%	1.37	8.4
mag1k3Y	17	13	4	24%	72.3	73.9%	1.19	—
SELLTERRRRRRRRRR	9	16	10	67%	66.8	73.9%	0.83	—
FOKUS
Banjo7	17	14	1	47%	82.8	60.9%	1.09	—
volt	12	16	7	58%	69.5	56.5%	0.81	—
-Matheos-	12	18	5	58%	59.4	56.5%	0.72	8.4
Jorko-_-	13	18	3	15%	63.3	47.8%	0.70	8.6
ztr	9	20	6	89%	51.4	65.2%	0.60	—

Teams

Players in this match

t3X1Y r3salt SdaimCAT mag1k3Y Jorko Matheos Banjo7 SELLTERRRRRRRRRR volt ztr