100 Thieves vs Nemesis — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-30

100 Thieves

1 : 2

Nemesis wins

Nemesis Winner

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	100 Thieves	vs	Nemesis	Edge
anubis	40% (2/5)		0% (0/1)	+40pp
dust2	73% (19/26)		56% (20/36)	+17pp
mirage	50% (7/14)		61% (22/36)	-11pp
inferno	72% (18/25)		61% (17/28)	+11pp
ancient	68% (15/22)		57% (25/44)	+11pp
nuke	62% (15/24)		64% (28/44)	-2pp
overpass	67% (2/3)		67% (12/18)	0pp
vertigo	50% (5/10)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

100 Thieves bans

mirage 50% WR

nuke 62% WR

Nemesis bans

dust2 56% WR

ancient 57% WR

100 Thieves pick

inferno

54% — 100 Thieves favored

Decider

anubis

100% 100 Thieves

Decider

vertigo

Nemesis pick

overpass

50% — Nemesis favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

anubis

100%

100 Thieves

dust2

57%

43%

100 Thieves

mirage

45%

55%

Nemesis

inferno

54%

46%

even

ancient

54%

46%

even

nuke

49%

51%

even

overpass

50%

even

100 Thieves on left · Nemesis on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
100 Thieves
MVP sirah RIFLER	46	51	15	61%	81.8	61.2%	0.98	7.9
rain	41	51	17	44%	76.0	67.2%	0.94	—
dev1ce	44	53	7	20%	82.3	59.7%	0.92	—
ag1L	40	51	21	55%	71.1	62.7%	0.89	—
poiii RIFLER	31	52	14	58%	60.2	52.2%	0.64	8.0
Nemesis WIN
MVP r3salt RIFLER	61	42	15	51%	102.5	76.1%	1.42	8.4
SdaimCAT	55	42	18	60%	95.3	74.6%	1.31	—
SELLTERRRRRRRRRR	53	41	23	55%	94.8	70.2%	1.27	—
mag1k3Y	48	35	16	25%	81.0	76.1%	1.24	—
t3X1Y	36	45	23	56%	72.3	70.2%	0.95	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
100 Thieves
rain	13	16	4	54%	84.3	72.2%	1.03	—
ag1L	9	14	1	56%	54.5	55.6%	0.67	—
poiii	10	16	3	70%	65.3	44.4%	0.62	8.0
sirah	7	16	4	86%	57.9	50.0%	0.50	7.9
dev1ce	6	16	1	33%	50.2	44.4%	0.37	—
Nemesis WIN
r3salt	26	9	4	50%	145.6	94.4%	2.22	8.4
mag1k3Y	19	8	4	16%	95.1	83.3%	1.67	—
SELLTERRRRRRRRRR	14	9	9	50%	94.9	88.9%	1.47	—
SdaimCAT	12	11	8	50%	83.6	83.3%	1.23	—
t3X1Y	10	11	8	60%	70.3	72.2%	1.01	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
100 Thieves
ag1L	12	15	8	75%	87.2	68.4%	1.01	—
dev1ce	14	15	3	29%	92.9	52.6%	0.98	—
rain	10	14	4	40%	75.8	63.2%	0.85	—
sirah	12	16	4	75%	81.3	52.6%	0.82	7.9
poiii	4	14	1	50%	26.5	42.1%	0.25	8.0
Nemesis WIN
SELLTERRRRRRRRRR	21	10	4	52%	112.7	79.0%	1.69	—
SdaimCAT	19	9	2	63%	103.5	84.2%	1.63	—
t3X1Y	13	10	7	38%	91.5	79.0%	1.28	—
mag1k3Y	10	10	5	20%	76.5	68.4%	1.01	—
r3salt	9	13	5	44%	64.2	68.4%	0.84	8.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
100 Thieves WIN
sirah	27	19	7	48%	96.4	73.3%	1.37	7.9
dev1ce	24	22	3	13%	94.9	73.3%	1.21	—
rain	18	21	9	39%	71.0	66.7%	0.95	—
ag1L	19	22	12	42%	70.9	63.3%	0.95	—
poiii	17	22	10	53%	78.4	63.3%	0.91	8.0
Nemesis
r3salt	26	20	6	54%	100.8	70.0%	1.31	8.4
SdaimCAT	24	22	8	63%	97.1	63.3%	1.16	—
mag1k3Y	19	17	7	37%	75.5	76.7%	1.13	—
SELLTERRRRRRRRRR	18	22	10	61%	83.3	53.3%	0.88	—
t3X1Y	13	24	8	69%	61.3	63.3%	0.70	—

Teams

Players in this match

r3salt SdaimCAT SELLTERRRRRRRRRR mag1k3Y sirah t3X1Y rain dev1ce ag1L poiii