PsychoFace vs Ursa — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-21

PsychoFace Winner

2 : 0

PsychoFace wins

Ursa

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	PsychoFace	vs	Ursa	Edge
overpass	86% (6/7)		48% (11/23)	+38pp
mirage	14% (1/7)		46% (19/41)	-32pp
ancient	25% (1/4)		0% (0/1)	+25pp
dust2	50% (6/12)		64% (43/67)	-14pp
anubis	67% (2/3)		64% (7/11)	+3pp
nuke	44% (4/9)		42% (22/53)	+2pp
inferno	—	·	40% (12/30)
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

PsychoFace bans

mirage 14% WR

dust2 50% WR

Ursa bans

nuke 42% WR

overpass 48% WR

PsychoFace pick

anubis

51% — PsychoFace favored

Decider

ancient

100% PsychoFace

Decider

vertigo

Ursa pick

inferno

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

64%

36%

PsychoFace

mirage

23%

77%

Ursa

ancient

100%

PsychoFace

dust2

44%

56%

Ursa

anubis

51%

49%

even

nuke

51%

49%

even

PsychoFace on left · Ursa on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
PsychoFace WIN
MVP abiraju RIFLER	38	27	13	61%	88.3	76.2%	1.37	6.6
slaxejezzz RIFLER	32	27	6	56%	83.4	64.3%	1.13	6.9
eightzzz	31	29	5	39%	76.6	71.4%	1.11	—
facecrack ENTRY	30	30	17	53%	85.9	64.3%	1.08	5.8
PsychoDoctor	27	28	13	59%	75.1	69.1%	1.04	—
Ursa
MVP 4X1s RIFLER	36	33	8	47%	95.0	64.3%	1.18	6.1
karnez RIFLER	35	30	4	69%	87.4	64.3%	1.16	6.1
Alv AWP	23	30	7	52%	61.5	64.3%	0.84	6.9
Salazar999	25	33	8	80%	76.1	54.8%	0.82	—
Jy0	21	31	5	52%	57.5	54.8%	0.70	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
PsychoFace WIN
abiraju	25	11	6	72%	131.7	94.4%	2.08	6.6
PsychoDoctor	17	12	5	65%	98.9	77.8%	1.44	—
eightzzz	16	11	3	38%	94.7	83.3%	1.43	—
facecrack	14	11	10	64%	96.1	77.8%	1.34	5.8
slaxe	4	9	2	75%	35.3	61.1%	0.56	6.9
Ursa
-4Xis	15	16	2	67%	95.9	66.7%	1.11	6.1
karnez	12	14	1	92%	77.3	55.6%	0.88	6.1
Salazar999	10	15	4	80%	75.0	55.6%	0.77	—
alv	10	16	1	40%	56.2	44.4%	0.58	6.9
Jy0	7	15	3	57%	55.9	55.6%	0.55	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
PsychoFace WIN
slaxejezzz	28	18	4	54%	119.4	66.7%	1.56	6.9
facecrack	16	19	7	44%	78.3	54.2%	0.89	5.8
eightzzz	15	18	2	40%	63.0	62.5%	0.87	—
abiraju	13	16	7	38%	55.8	62.5%	0.84	6.6
PsychoDoctor	10	16	8	50%	57.3	62.5%	0.74	—
Ursa
karnez	23	16	3	57%	95.0	70.8%	1.37	6.1
-4Xis	21	17	6	33%	94.2	62.5%	1.22	6.1
alv	13	14	6	62%	65.5	79.2%	1.03	6.9
Salazar999	15	18	4	80%	76.8	54.2%	0.86	—
Jy0	14	16	2	50%	58.7	54.2%	0.80	—

Teams

Players in this match

abiraju 4X1s karnez slaxejezzz eightzzz facecrack PsychoDoctor Alv Salazar999 Jy0