Phantom vs Leo — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-05-21

Phantom Winner

2 : 1

Phantom wins

Leo

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Phantom	vs	Leo	Edge
nuke	55% (33/60)		35% (9/26)	+20pp
dust2	46% (18/39)		62% (48/78)	-16pp
ancient	44% (14/32)		59% (40/68)	-15pp
anubis	33% (3/9)		43% (15/35)	-10pp
overpass	44% (12/27)		54% (7/13)	-10pp
inferno	40% (2/5)		45% (17/38)	-5pp
mirage	47% (20/43)		48% (19/40)	-1pp
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Phantom bans

anubis 33% WR

inferno 40% WR

Leo bans

nuke 35% WR

mirage 48% WR

Phantom pick

dust2

43% — Phantom favored

Decider

overpass

55% Leo

Decider

vertigo

Leo pick

ancient

57% — Leo favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

nuke

61%

39%

Phantom

dust2

43%

57%

Leo

ancient

43%

57%

Leo

anubis

43%

57%

Leo

overpass

45%

55%

Leo

inferno

47%

53%

even

mirage

49%

51%

even

Phantom on left · Leo on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Phantom WIN
MVP KEi RIFLER	56	50	16	39%	92.8	74.2%	1.25	6.2
mwlky AWP	54	41	6	30%	83.1	71.2%	1.23	6.6
Kunai ENTRY	47	45	11	49%	69.0	71.2%	1.07	4.9
Kylar RIFLER	40	39	15	60%	65.2	69.7%	1.01	6.3
TMB ENTRY	37	48	14	46%	67.0	60.6%	0.84	6.9
Leo
MVP OneUn1que RIFLER	50	48	17	56%	84.4	66.7%	1.11	6.2
amster RIFLER	45	46	12	53%	71.4	66.7%	1.01	5.9
leen	41	43	13	61%	66.7	69.7%	0.99	—
kL1o RIFLER	44	49	13	52%	67.7	65.2%	0.95	5.9
leri511	39	44	6	36%	57.4	62.1%	0.86	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Phantom WIN
KEi	21	17	4	48%	102.9	72.7%	1.35	6.2
mwlky	16	13	2	19%	81.1	77.3%	1.21	6.6
Kylar	16	14	6	63%	78.8	72.7%	1.16	6.3
Kunai	16	15	4	63%	70.5	68.2%	1.07	4.9
TMB	15	16	5	47%	83.6	59.1%	0.99	6.9
Leo
OneUn1que	17	16	7	65%	87.7	68.2%	1.15	6.2
amster	17	15	3	71%	83.6	63.6%	1.11	5.9
leri511	15	15	3	47%	76.9	63.6%	1.01	—
leen	10	14	3	80%	52.9	63.6%	0.76	—
kL1o	12	20	6	50%	59.0	59.1%	0.70	5.9

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Phantom
mwlky	15	16	2	33%	80.8	61.9%	0.99	6.6
Kylar	10	12	3	70%	57.4	61.9%	0.82	6.3
TMB	12	16	3	58%	75.1	52.4%	0.79	6.9
Kunai	12	18	1	42%	54.6	61.9%	0.73	4.9
KEi	11	17	5	55%	71.3	52.4%	0.72	6.2
Leo WIN
OneUn1que	20	13	4	60%	99.8	66.7%	1.38	6.2
kL1o	17	11	5	71%	89.0	76.2%	1.35	5.9
leen	17	12	7	47%	81.1	81.0%	1.34	—
leri511	13	12	1	38%	62.0	66.7%	0.98	—
amster	13	13	4	38%	61.1	61.9%	0.93	5.9

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Phantom WIN
KEi	24	16	7	25%	102.9	95.7%	1.65	6.2
mwlky	23	12	2	35%	87.1	73.9%	1.48	6.6
Kunai	19	12	6	42%	80.7	82.6%	1.39	4.9
Kylar	14	13	6	50%	59.3	73.9%	1.04	6.3
TMB	10	16	6	30%	43.7	69.6%	0.74	6.9
Leo
amster	15	18	5	47%	69.2	73.9%	0.99	5.9
leen	14	17	3	64%	66.9	65.2%	0.90	—
kL1o	15	18	2	33%	56.7	60.9%	0.84	5.9
OneUn1que	13	19	6	38%	67.2	65.2%	0.83	6.2
leri511	11	17	2	18%	34.7	56.5%	0.61	—

Teams

Players in this match

KEi mwlky OneUn1que Kunai amster Kylar leen kL1o leri511 TMB