LP vs VEXA — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2026-05-21

LP Winner

2 : 0

LP wins

VEXA

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	LP	vs	VEXA	Edge
inferno	67% (30/45)		0% (0/5)	+67pp
overpass	62% (5/8)		100% (1/1)	-38pp
mirage	48% (15/31)		14% (1/7)	+34pp
ancient	64% (21/33)		40% (2/5)	+24pp
dust2	66% (27/41)		57% (4/7)	+9pp
nuke	76% (26/34)	·	—
anubis	—	·	100% (4/4)
vertigo	—	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

LP bans

mirage 48% WR

ancient 64% WR

VEXA bans

inferno 0% WR

dust2 57% WR

LP pick

anubis

Decider

nuke

Decider

vertigo

VEXA pick

overpass

62% — VEXA favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

inferno

100%

overpass

38%

62%

VEXA

mirage

77%

23%

ancient

62%

38%

dust2

54%

46%

even

LP on left · VEXA on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
LP WIN
MVP Divine	41	25	5	37%	92.3	86.1%	1.51	—
zmb SUPPORT	34	23	19	50%	88.4	83.7%	1.40	7.5
happ RIFLER	34	23	6	35%	78.2	74.4%	1.27	7.5
Alisson RIFLER	30	34	11	30%	64.1	79.1%	1.05	7.7
Leomonster ENTRY	31	37	15	55%	83.1	62.8%	0.99	7.2
VEXA
MVP zock9	34	26	6	29%	78.2	76.7%	1.25	—
neozix	34	34	7	56%	81.5	65.1%	1.08	—
hug1	27	36	13	48%	66.5	65.1%	0.88	—
nolkz RIFLER	24	39	15	58%	67.0	69.8%	0.82	4.3
ryuzen	22	35	9	45%	55.7	60.5%	0.71	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
LP WIN
Divine	24	15	0	38%	98.3	87.0%	1.57	—
zmb	20	12	10	55%	97.8	78.3%	1.46	7.5
Leomonster	20	19	8	45%	93.7	69.6%	1.22	7.2
happ	17	15	3	41%	73.0	65.2%	1.08	7.5
Alisson	11	21	6	55%	48.7	69.6%	0.68	7.7
VEXA
zock9	20	14	3	20%	77.8	73.9%	1.29	—
neozix	20	17	3	65%	90.0	65.2%	1.20	—
nolkz	17	22	8	59%	85.9	73.9%	1.04	4.3
hug1	14	20	8	36%	65.0	65.2%	0.84	—
ryuzen	11	20	5	45%	46.5	65.2%	0.66	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
LP WIN
happ	17	8	3	29%	84.2	85.0%	1.49	7.5
Alisson	19	13	5	16%	82.0	90.0%	1.48	7.7
Divine	17	10	5	35%	85.5	85.0%	1.45	—
zmb	14	11	9	43%	77.6	90.0%	1.32	7.5
Leomonster	11	18	7	73%	71.0	55.0%	0.72	7.2
VEXA
zock9	14	12	3	43%	78.6	80.0%	1.20	—
neozix	14	17	4	43%	71.8	65.0%	0.94	—
hug1	13	16	5	62%	68.2	65.0%	0.92	—
ryuzen	11	15	4	45%	66.4	55.0%	0.77	—
nolkz	7	17	7	57%	45.3	65.0%	0.57	4.3

Teams

View team →

VEXA

View team →

Players in this match

Divine zmb happ zock9 neozix Alisson Leomonster hug1 nolkz ryuzen