MOUZ vs paiN — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-22

MOUZ Winner

2 : 0

MOUZ wins

paiN

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	MOUZ	vs	paiN	Edge
overpass	66% (31/47)		34% (12/35)	+32pp
ancient	60% (49/81)		39% (9/23)	+21pp
inferno	62% (68/110)		49% (48/97)	+13pp
vertigo	53% (23/43)		66% (59/90)	-13pp
mirage	56% (70/124)		62% (75/121)	-6pp
nuke	61% (66/108)		67% (112/167)	-6pp
dust2	47% (28/60)		51% (38/74)	-4pp
anubis	—	·	64% (75/118)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

MOUZ bans

dust2 47% WR

vertigo 53% WR

paiN bans

overpass 34% WR

ancient 39% WR

MOUZ pick

inferno

56% — MOUZ favored

Decider

mirage

53% paiN

Decider

anubis

paiN pick

nuke

52% — paiN favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

66%

34%

MOUZ

ancient

61%

39%

MOUZ

inferno

56%

44%

MOUZ

vertigo

45%

55%

paiN

mirage

47%

53%

even

nuke

48%

52%

even

dust2

48%

52%

even

MOUZ on left · paiN on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MOUZ WIN
MVP xelex RIFLER	37	21	8	73%	98.7	87.2%	1.57	9.5
torzsi AWP	34	16	10	38%	96.4	82.1%	1.53	9.9
xertioN RIFLER	34	18	13	62%	101.8	76.9%	1.49	9.8
jL SUPPORT	20	19	11	55%	55.1	74.4%	0.99	9.7
Spinx RIFLER	23	24	6	70%	64.7	64.1%	0.93	9.8
paiN
MVP V$m	25	30	5	72%	71.9	61.5%	0.90	—
piriajr RIFLER	22	29	5	64%	65.7	56.4%	0.79	9.3
biguzera ENTRY	19	27	8	37%	54.8	53.9%	0.70	9.0
saffee AWP	18	30	3	56%	53.1	48.7%	0.58	9.0
snow RIFLER	14	33	9	29%	46.5	51.3%	0.47	9.2

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MOUZ WIN
xertioN	21	6	5	62%	125.2	83.3%	1.93	9.8
torzsi	18	6	4	56%	103.6	94.4%	1.79	9.9
Spinx	13	9	1	54%	69.1	66.7%	1.13	9.8
jL	10	7	3	60%	52.8	77.8%	1.09	9.7
xelex	8	10	5	88%	62.9	83.3%	0.99	9.5
paiN
V$m	11	15	4	82%	76.1	66.7%	0.90	—
biguzera	8	13	2	38%	49.2	55.6%	0.64	9.0
saffee	7	13	2	57%	46.6	50.0%	0.54	9.0
piriajr	7	14	3	71%	50.1	44.4%	0.49	9.3
snow	5	16	2	40%	41.6	44.4%	0.30	9.2

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MOUZ WIN
xelex	29	11	3	69%	129.4	90.5%	2.07	9.5
torzsi	16	10	6	19%	90.1	71.4%	1.31	9.9
xertioN	13	12	8	62%	81.8	71.4%	1.11	9.8
jL	10	12	8	50%	57.0	71.4%	0.91	9.7
Spinx	10	15	5	90%	61.0	61.9%	0.76	9.8
paiN
piriajr	15	15	2	60%	79.1	66.7%	1.05	9.3
V$m	14	15	1	64%	68.2	57.1%	0.90	—
biguzera	11	14	6	36%	59.6	52.4%	0.76	9.0
saffee	11	17	1	55%	58.7	47.6%	0.62	9.0
snow	9	17	7	22%	50.7	57.1%	0.61	9.2

Teams

Players in this match

xelex torzsi xertioN jL Spinx V$m piriajr biguzera saffee snow