BC.Game vs paiN — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-21

BC.Game

0 : 2

paiN wins

paiN Winner

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	BC.Game	paiN	Edge
vertigo	0% (0/1)	66% (59/90)	-66pp
anubis	39% (16/41)	64% (75/118)	-25pp
nuke	50% (17/34)	67% (112/167)	-17pp
overpass	50% (7/14)	34% (12/35)	+16pp
mirage	53% (46/87)	62% (75/121)	-9pp
ancient	47% (37/79)	39% (9/23)	+8pp
dust2	57% (39/68)	51% (38/74)	+6pp
inferno	52% (22/42)	49% (48/97)	+3pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

BC.Game bans

anubis 39% WR

ancient 47% WR

paiN bans

overpass 34% WR

inferno 49% WR

BC.Game pick

dust2

53% — BC.Game favored

Decider

mirage

54% paiN

Decider

vertigo

100% paiN

paiN pick

nuke

57% — paiN favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

vertigo

100%

paiN

anubis

38%

62%

paiN

nuke

43%

57%

paiN

overpass

60%

40%

BC.Game

mirage

46%

54%

even

ancient

55%

45%

BC.Game

dust2

53%

47%

even

inferno

51%

49%

even

BC.Game on left · paiN on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
BC.Game
MVP s1mple AWP	27	28	7	48%	79.0	62.5%	1.00	9.1
Senzu RIFLER	30	30	6	67%	81.2	55.0%	0.99	9.3
krazy RIFLER	17	34	5	35%	54.9	47.5%	0.51	8.3
electroNic RIFLER	14	30	7	29%	38.7	52.5%	0.49	8.6
ScrunK	16	34	3	44%	47.1	47.5%	0.46	—
paiN WIN
MVP piriajr RIFLER	33	23	8	48%	87.5	82.5%	1.37	9.3
biguzera ENTRY	35	24	7	40%	91.5	75.0%	1.36	9.0
V$m	33	20	6	67%	86.7	75.0%	1.35	—
snow RIFLER	29	21	9	59%	79.6	75.0%	1.23	9.2
saffee AWP	28	20	5	29%	74.8	72.5%	1.18	9.0

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
BC.Game
s1mple	9	12	2	56%	65.8	55.6%	0.77	9.1
Senzu	10	15	3	70%	67.2	50.0%	0.69	9.3
ScrunK	9	17	2	44%	61.9	61.1%	0.65	—
krazy	8	16	4	25%	61.5	55.6%	0.60	8.3
electroNic	8	15	2	38%	52.9	50.0%	0.55	8.6
paiN
piriajr	20	8	1	65%	119.1	88.9%	1.82	9.3
V$m	20	9	4	85%	122.6	83.3%	1.78	—
biguzera	12	8	2	42%	77.6	72.2%	1.19	9.0
snow	12	10	3	58%	80.6	77.8%	1.18	9.2
saffee	10	9	2	30%	59.1	72.2%	1.00	9.0

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
BC.Game
Senzu	20	15	3	65%	92.7	59.1%	1.23	9.3
s1mple	18	16	5	44%	89.9	68.2%	1.19	9.1
electroNic	6	15	5	17%	27.1	54.6%	0.44	8.6
krazy	9	18	1	44%	49.5	40.9%	0.44	8.3
ScrunK	7	17	1	43%	35.0	36.4%	0.31	—
paiN
biguzera	23	16	5	39%	102.9	77.3%	1.49	9.0
saffee	18	11	3	28%	87.6	72.7%	1.33	9.0
snow	17	11	6	59%	78.8	72.7%	1.27	9.2
piriajr	13	15	7	23%	61.6	77.3%	1.00	9.3
V$m	13	11	2	38%	57.3	68.2%	1.00	—

Teams

Players in this match

piriajr biguzera V$m snow saffee s1mple Senzu krazy electroNic ScrunK