NRG vs MOUZ — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-21

NRG

1 : 2

MOUZ wins

MOUZ Winner

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	NRG	vs	MOUZ	Edge
vertigo	77% (17/22)		53% (23/43)	+24pp
dust2	65% (48/74)		47% (28/60)	+18pp
mirage	72% (68/95)		56% (70/124)	+16pp
nuke	47% (25/53)		61% (66/108)	-14pp
overpass	57% (13/23)		66% (31/47)	-9pp
inferno	68% (54/79)		62% (68/110)	+6pp
ancient	58% (37/64)		60% (49/81)	-2pp
anubis	62% (33/53)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

NRG bans

nuke 47% WR

overpass 57% WR

MOUZ bans

dust2 47% WR

vertigo 53% WR

NRG pick

mirage

56% — NRG favored

Decider

ancient

51% MOUZ

Decider

anubis

MOUZ pick

inferno

48% — MOUZ favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

vertigo

59%

41%

NRG

dust2

58%

42%

NRG

mirage

56%

44%

NRG

nuke

44%

56%

MOUZ

overpass

46%

54%

even

inferno

52%

48%

even

ancient

49%

51%

even

NRG on left · MOUZ on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
NRG
MVP Sonic SUPPORT	48	47	11	60%	80.1	73.1%	1.11	9.3
Grim RIFLER	42	43	8	57%	70.3	64.2%	0.97	9.1
oSee AWP	37	43	10	35%	61.5	59.7%	0.84	9.5
nitr0 ENTRY	34	42	7	41%	55.9	65.7%	0.84	9.2
daps	25	51	11	44%	54.1	58.2%	0.59	—
MOUZ WIN
MVP torzsi AWP	46	31	11	41%	71.5	77.6%	1.22	9.9
Spinx RIFLER	49	34	11	65%	75.9	68.7%	1.18	9.8
jL SUPPORT	44	37	14	59%	74.1	71.6%	1.12	9.7
xertioN RIFLER	46	43	19	41%	81.8	70.2%	1.12	9.8
xelex RIFLER	38	42	8	53%	63.1	64.2%	0.90	9.5

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
NRG
Sonic	13	16	1	54%	66.4	65.0%	0.89	9.3
Grim	10	14	3	40%	53.8	70.0%	0.82	9.1
daps	8	14	3	50%	49.3	75.0%	0.75	—
nitr0	9	14	3	33%	61.8	60.0%	0.73	9.2
oSee	10	16	3	50%	58.4	45.0%	0.60	9.5
MOUZ WIN
jL	16	9	3	63%	73.4	80.0%	1.35	9.7
torzsi	16	10	2	50%	85.5	75.0%	1.32	9.9
Spinx	14	11	2	57%	77.7	80.0%	1.22	9.8
xertioN	13	10	4	54%	74.7	80.0%	1.20	9.8
xelex	15	11	1	67%	74.0	70.0%	1.17	9.5

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
NRG WIN
Sonic	22	13	4	68%	98.2	79.2%	1.47	9.3
Grim	19	13	4	47%	88.3	75.0%	1.30	9.1
oSee	16	15	3	31%	73.7	70.8%	1.07	9.5
nitr0	11	13	3	55%	47.0	70.8%	0.85	9.2
daps	10	19	7	30%	68.8	62.5%	0.71	—
MOUZ
torzsi	15	12	4	33%	63.2	75.0%	1.10	9.9
xertioN	16	19	8	31%	81.8	70.8%	1.03	9.8
xelex	15	18	5	40%	74.6	66.7%	0.95	9.5
jL	12	14	5	58%	70.5	62.5%	0.89	9.7
Spinx	12	15	2	75%	57.3	50.0%	0.72	9.8

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
NRG
Sonic	13	18	6	54%	73.1	73.9%	0.93	9.3
nitr0	14	15	1	36%	60.1	65.2%	0.91	9.2
oSee	11	12	4	27%	51.5	60.9%	0.82	9.5
Grim	13	16	1	85%	66.1	47.8%	0.74	9.1
daps	7	18	1	57%	42.9	39.1%	0.34	—
MOUZ WIN
Spinx	23	8	7	65%	93.7	78.3%	1.64	9.8
torzsi	15	9	5	40%	68.0	82.6%	1.26	9.9
jL	16	14	6	56%	78.6	73.9%	1.16	9.7
xertioN	17	14	7	41%	88.2	60.9%	1.13	9.8
xelex	8	13	2	50%	41.6	56.5%	0.62	9.5

Teams

Players in this match

torzsi Spinx jL xertioN Sonic Grim xelex oSee nitr0 daps