HOTU vs ex-RUBY — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-20

HOTU Winner

2 : 1

HOTU wins

ex-RUBY

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	HOTU	vs	ex-RUBY	Edge
ancient	65% (57/88)		55% (22/40)	+10pp
dust2	57% (37/65)		66% (37/56)	-9pp
overpass	55% (21/38)		63% (17/27)	-8pp
anubis	57% (21/37)		50% (6/12)	+7pp
nuke	56% (33/59)		62% (28/45)	-6pp
mirage	60% (34/57)		55% (29/53)	+5pp
inferno	0% (0/4)		0% (0/1)	0pp
vertigo	22% (2/9)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

HOTU bans

overpass 55% WR

nuke 56% WR

ex-RUBY bans

anubis 50% WR

ancient 55% WR

HOTU pick

mirage

52% — HOTU favored

Decider

inferno

Decider

vertigo

ex-RUBY pick

dust2

54% — ex-RUBY favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

ancient

54%

46%

even

dust2

46%

54%

even

overpass

47%

53%

even

anubis

53%

47%

even

nuke

47%

53%

even

mirage

52%

48%

even

HOTU on left · ex-RUBY on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
HOTU WIN
MVP frontales AWP	44	28	9	36%	82.7	77.2%	1.31	9.1
mizu	40	36	10	53%	79.4	68.4%	1.10	—
n0rb3r7 RIFLER	39	37	11	49%	80.1	59.7%	1.02	8.4
gokushima	30	41	21	43%	63.9	77.2%	0.94	—
kade0 RIFLER	34	33	12	59%	72.0	52.6%	0.90	5.5
ex-RUBY
MVP robo	41	40	14	56%	81.8	77.2%	1.16	—
H4SAN4TOR ENTRY	33	36	11	58%	70.7	71.9%	1.00	7.3
sh1nejezzz RIFLER	35	37	7	60%	69.5	66.7%	0.97	7.8
YumsaN AWP	30	31	11	53%	61.4	68.4%	0.94	7.9
relaxxie	36	43	10	56%	75.0	61.4%	0.91	—
▸ Observers / Coaches (2)
sowalio	— observer —
senka	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
HOTU
frontales	13	12	0	31%	80.8	55.6%	1.00	9.1
kade0	8	13	1	50%	57.6	38.9%	0.53	5.5
gokushima	6	16	5	50%	54.6	61.1%	0.52	—
mizu	6	14	2	33%	44.2	50.0%	0.45	—
n0rb3r7	5	17	1	60%	44.1	22.2%	0.11	8.4
ex-RUBY WIN
relaxxie	20	12	4	65%	116.3	72.2%	1.59	—
H4SAN4TOR	15	6	2	60%	87.5	88.9%	1.54	7.3
robo	15	8	6	87%	93.5	83.3%	1.49	—
sh1nejezzz	13	8	3	62%	75.8	72.2%	1.24	7.8
YumsaN	11	6	1	73%	60.8	77.8%	1.18	7.9
▸ Observers (2)
Sowalio	— observer —
senka	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
HOTU
frontales	17	7	3	41%	92.1	94.4%	1.67	9.1
mizu	16	8	2	56%	94.1	77.8%	1.47	—
n0rb3r7	16	11	3	50%	95.0	61.1%	1.27	8.4
gokushima	11	13	11	27%	70.2	83.3%	1.10	—
kade0	14	12	5	71%	98.2	50.0%	1.09	5.5
ex-RUBY
sh1nejezzz	13	14	2	62%	88.9	66.7%	1.05	7.8
robo	13	15	3	15%	77.7	66.7%	0.99	—
H4SAN4TOR	10	16	6	50%	64.7	61.1%	0.75	7.3
YumsaN	8	13	3	50%	54.2	61.1%	0.70	7.9
relaxxie	6	15	5	50%	57.2	66.7%	0.60	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
HOTU
n0rb3r7	18	9	7	44%	98.3	90.5%	1.58	8.4
mizu	18	14	6	56%	97.1	76.2%	1.34	—
frontales	14	9	6	36%	76.2	81.0%	1.27	9.1
gokushima	13	12	5	54%	66.4	85.7%	1.15	—
kade0	12	8	6	50%	62.0	66.7%	1.07	5.5
ex-RUBY
robo	13	17	5	62%	75.2	81.0%	1.02	—
YumsaN	11	12	7	36%	68.1	66.7%	0.95	7.9
H4SAN4TOR	8	14	3	63%	61.3	66.7%	0.73	7.3
sh1nejezzz	9	15	2	56%	47.3	61.9%	0.66	7.8
relaxxie	10	16	1	40%	54.8	47.6%	0.60	—

Teams

Players in this match

frontales robo mizu n0rb3r7 H4SAN4TOR sh1nejezzz YumsaN gokushima relaxxie kade0