Walczaki vs Alliance — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-24

Walczaki

0 : 2

Alliance wins

Alliance Winner

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Walczaki	vs	Alliance	Edge
overpass	0% (0/2)		54% (30/56)	-54pp
mirage	86% (6/7)		43% (20/46)	+43pp
anubis	82% (9/11)		57% (54/94)	+25pp
ancient	75% (9/12)		55% (72/131)	+20pp
dust2	60% (6/10)		47% (39/83)	+13pp
nuke	58% (11/19)		52% (43/83)	+6pp
inferno	62% (5/8)		65% (101/156)	-3pp
vertigo	—	·	37% (14/38)

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Walczaki bans

nuke 58% WR

dust2 60% WR

Alliance bans

mirage 43% WR

ancient 55% WR

Walczaki pick

anubis

59% — Walczaki favored

Decider

overpass

100% Alliance

Decider

vertigo

Alliance pick

inferno

51% — Alliance favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

100%

Alliance

mirage

67%

33%

Walczaki

anubis

59%

41%

Walczaki

ancient

58%

42%

Walczaki

dust2

56%

44%

Walczaki

nuke

53%

47%

even

inferno

49%

51%

even

Walczaki on left · Alliance on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Walczaki
MVP SaMey AWP	26	24	6	54%	62.5	64.3%	0.98	8.3
moonwalk RIFLER	29	36	7	66%	70.8	61.9%	0.90	7.7
olimp ENTRY	25	35	10	44%	69.6	52.4%	0.76	7.7
reiko RIFLER	22	35	7	50%	58.8	61.9%	0.73	7.6
bajmi RIFLER	17	31	13	65%	57.4	59.5%	0.67	7.7
Alliance WIN
MVP eraa AWP	47	25	10	34%	115.7	88.1%	1.75	9.3
MaiL09 RIFLER	36	22	7	67%	90.5	76.2%	1.39	9.2
upE RIFLER	31	24	5	58%	74.5	69.1%	1.15	8.7
avid RIFLER	27	29	11	41%	63.6	71.4%	1.00	8.9
twist ENTRY	22	22	14	45%	59.8	73.8%	1.00	8.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Walczaki
moonwalk	17	16	4	53%	75.8	68.2%	1.10	7.7
SaMey	12	10	4	33%	55.1	68.2%	0.98	8.3
olimp	15	16	6	33%	72.1	59.1%	0.95	7.7
reiko	13	18	3	46%	68.0	63.6%	0.83	7.6
bajmi	10	16	5	80%	59.6	68.2%	0.78	7.7
Alliance WIN
eraa	25	15	5	40%	110.6	86.4%	1.69	9.3
Mail09	16	13	2	69%	77.1	68.2%	1.13	9.2
avid	13	13	5	54%	68.2	77.3%	1.06	8.9
twist	10	12	2	30%	53.2	68.2%	0.84	8.7
upE	13	16	2	54%	63.4	54.6%	0.80	8.7

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Walczaki
SaMey	14	14	2	71%	70.5	60.0%	0.97	8.3
moonwalk	12	20	3	83%	65.3	55.0%	0.67	7.7
reiko	9	17	4	56%	48.7	60.0%	0.61	7.6
olimp	10	19	4	60%	66.9	45.0%	0.55	7.7
bajmi	7	15	8	43%	55.1	50.0%	0.55	7.7
Alliance WIN
eraa	22	10	5	27%	121.3	90.0%	1.82	9.3
Mail09	20	9	5	65%	105.1	85.0%	1.67	9.2
upE	18	8	3	61%	86.7	85.0%	1.54	8.7
twist	12	10	12	58%	67.0	80.0%	1.17	8.7
avid	14	16	6	29%	58.6	65.0%	0.93	8.9

Teams

Players in this match

eraa MaiL09 upE avid twist SaMey moonwalk olimp reiko bajmi