Alliance vs Walczaki — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2026-05-22

Alliance Winner

2 : 0

Alliance wins

Walczaki

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Alliance	vs	Walczaki	Edge
overpass	54% (30/56)		0% (0/2)	+54pp
mirage	43% (20/46)		86% (6/7)	-43pp
anubis	57% (54/94)		82% (9/11)	-25pp
ancient	55% (72/131)		75% (9/12)	-20pp
dust2	47% (39/83)		60% (6/10)	-13pp
nuke	52% (43/83)		58% (11/19)	-6pp
inferno	65% (101/156)		62% (5/8)	+3pp
vertigo	37% (14/38)	·	—

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Alliance bans

mirage 43% WR

dust2 47% WR

Walczaki bans

nuke 58% WR

inferno 62% WR

Alliance pick

anubis

41% — Alliance favored

Decider

overpass

100% Alliance

Decider

vertigo

Walczaki pick

ancient

58% — Walczaki favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

overpass

100%

Alliance

mirage

33%

67%

Walczaki

anubis

41%

59%

Walczaki

ancient

42%

58%

Walczaki

dust2

44%

56%

Walczaki

nuke

47%

53%

even

inferno

51%

49%

even

Alliance on left · Walczaki on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Alliance WIN
MVP eraa AWP	33	22	9	30%	94.1	78.4%	1.41	9.3
upE RIFLER	31	19	8	71%	88.2	78.4%	1.39	8.7
MaiL09 RIFLER	27	19	9	56%	83.2	75.7%	1.26	9.2
twist ENTRY	24	22	18	54%	80.6	81.1%	1.20	8.7
avid RIFLER	28	22	6	50%	79.5	73.0%	1.20	8.9
Walczaki
MVP olimp ENTRY	26	28	6	69%	85.8	64.9%	1.03	7.7
reiko RIFLER	22	28	9	41%	72.9	62.2%	0.88	7.6
bajmi RIFLER	22	30	4	64%	74.7	56.8%	0.81	7.7
moonwalk RIFLER	18	29	5	61%	58.1	51.4%	0.64	7.7
SaMey AWP	16	28	4	25%	58.1	51.4%	0.60	8.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Alliance WIN
eraa	20	14	6	40%	94.9	78.3%	1.39	9.3
upE	18	11	4	78%	81.1	73.9%	1.30	8.7
avid	17	14	3	65%	75.4	69.6%	1.14	8.9
twist	14	13	11	64%	81.7	73.9%	1.14	8.7
Mail09	9	14	7	44%	59.5	73.9%	0.84	9.2
Walczaki
reiko	18	15	6	33%	84.7	69.6%	1.20	7.6
moonwalk	14	15	3	57%	66.6	60.9%	0.91	7.7
bajmi	13	17	3	69%	80.7	60.9%	0.87	7.7
olimp	11	16	5	73%	70.3	65.2%	0.83	7.7
SaMey	10	15	2	10%	60.2	52.2%	0.67	8.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Alliance WIN
Mail09	18	5	2	61%	122.1	78.6%	1.96	9.2
upE	13	8	4	62%	100.0	85.7%	1.53	8.7
eraa	13	8	3	15%	92.7	78.6%	1.45	9.3
twist	10	9	7	40%	78.9	92.9%	1.32	8.7
avid	11	8	3	27%	86.1	78.6%	1.31	8.9
Walczaki
olimp	15	12	1	67%	111.1	64.3%	1.36	7.7
bajmi	9	13	1	56%	64.9	50.0%	0.70	7.7
SaMey	6	13	2	50%	54.6	50.0%	0.49	8.3
reiko	4	13	3	75%	53.4	50.0%	0.37	7.6
moonwalk	4	14	2	75%	44.1	35.7%	0.19	7.7

Teams

Players in this match

eraa upE MaiL09 twist avid olimp reiko bajmi moonwalk SaMey