MIBR vs paiN — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371625

HLTV

T1 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-20 FINAL

MIBR

WINNER

2 : 0

SERIES COMPLETE

paiN

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

ancient 62% MIBR

inferno 57% MIBR

mirage 43% MIBR

dust2 43% MIBR

overpass 58% MIBR

nuke 47% MIBR

vertigo 48% MIBR

anubis 50% MIBR

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 0

MIBR

SERIES WINNER

MIBR

PAIN

—

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

ancient 62% MIBR

inferno 57% MIBR

mirage 43% MIBR

dust2 43% MIBR

overpass 58% MIBR

nuke 47% MIBR

vertigo 48% MIBR

anubis 50% MIBR

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

anubis 13 – 7 MIBR took the map.

vertigo 13 – 11 MIBR took the map.

Side

MIBR WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP drop	42	33	9	55%	104.7	72.3%	1.34	—
insani RIFLER	35	33	12	46%	81.6	74.5%	1.16	9.2
brnz4n RIFLER	31	26	16	48%	76.3	74.5%	1.16	9.1
saffee AWP	32	29	11	50%	73.5	68.1%	1.08	9.1
exitR	23	30	15	48%	68.6	66.0%	0.88	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP lux1-	33	36	12	36%	87.6	66.0%	1.05	—
biguzera ENTRY	35	34	3	60%	80.0	59.6%	1.02	8.9
kauez_	30	33	4	57%	69.5	59.6%	0.91	—
nqz-	24	31	7	25%	55.8	57.5%	0.76	—
nyezin	20	31	10	45%	59.9	61.7%	0.74	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
drop	17	15	6	53%	108.4	76.2%	1.31	—
insani	16	14	8	50%	100.8	76.2%	1.28	9.2
saffee77	18	12	3	44%	84.7	66.7%	1.27	9.1
brnz4n	12	11	10	42%	81.4	71.4%	1.11	9.1
exitR	10	13	3	50%	58.4	57.1%	0.76	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nqz-	16	12	3	31%	80.8	61.9%	1.14	—
kauez_	14	15	1	57%	75.8	61.9%	0.96	—
nyezin	11	13	5	36%	71.2	61.9%	0.89	—
biguzera-	11	16	1	45%	60.0	61.9%	0.76	8.9
lux1-	10	16	4	30%	67.3	61.9%	0.75	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
drop	25	18	3	56%	101.7	69.2%	1.37	—
brnz4n	19	15	6	53%	72.2	76.9%	1.20	9.1
insani	19	19	4	42%	66.2	73.1%	1.06	9.2
exitR	13	17	12	46%	76.9	73.1%	0.97	—
saffee77	14	17	8	57%	64.5	69.2%	0.92	9.1

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
lux1-	23	20	8	39%	104.0	69.2%	1.29	—
biguzera-	24	18	2	67%	96.2	57.7%	1.23	8.9
kauez_	16	18	3	56%	64.5	57.7%	0.86	—
nyezin	9	18	5	56%	50.8	61.5%	0.62	—
nqz-	8	19	4	13%	35.7	53.9%	0.46	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = MIBR · Magenta = paiN. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

drop insani brnz4n saffee lux1- biguzera kauez_ exitR nqz- nyezin