Fluxo vs paiN — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371623

HLTV

T1 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-19 FINAL

Fluxo

CHALLENGER

1 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

paiN

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

anubis 34% Fluxo

ancient 63% Fluxo

overpass 57% Fluxo

vertigo 46% Fluxo

nuke 48% Fluxo

mirage 48% Fluxo

inferno 52% Fluxo

dust2 51% Fluxo

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

1 : 2

paiN

SERIES WINNER

FLUXO

PAIN

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

anubis 34% Fluxo

ancient 63% Fluxo

overpass 57% Fluxo

vertigo 46% Fluxo

nuke 48% Fluxo

mirage 48% Fluxo

inferno 52% Fluxo

dust2 51% Fluxo

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 13 – 7 Fluxo took the map.

inferno 9 – 13 paiN took the map.

vertigo 6 – 13 paiN took the map.

Side

Fluxo

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP Lucaozy	68	35	13	43%	111.1	78.5%	1.63	—
chayJESUS	46	44	22	61%	89.2	72.3%	1.16	—
vsmm	34	40	12	41%	56.6	64.6%	0.86	—
-zevy-	27	40	13	59%	57.5	61.5%	0.75	—
PKL ENTRY	26	47	16	62%	56.6	60.0%	0.67	6.8
▸ Observers (1)
Coach \| turner--	— observer —

paiN WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP nqz-	45	35	11	27%	80.0	76.9%	1.21	—
kauez_	55	48	5	56%	84.1	64.6%	1.15	—
nyezin	40	41	14	48%	67.9	66.2%	0.98	—
lux1-	35	41	20	51%	67.2	67.7%	0.93	—
biguzera ENTRY	31	46	15	55%	65.0	64.6%	0.80	9.0

Fluxo WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Lucaozy	38	8	3	42%	175.4	90.5%	2.66	—
chayJESUS	15	11	8	67%	100.4	71.4%	1.28	—
-zevy-	12	12	10	58%	84.0	81.0%	1.16	—
vsmm	12	10	6	33%	58.7	85.7%	1.14	—
PKL	8	13	6	75%	55.7	66.7%	0.75	6.8
▸ Observers (1)
Coach \| turner--	— observer —

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
kauez_	19	17	1	42%	84.6	71.4%	1.21	—
nqz-	17	16	1	41%	87.2	61.9%	1.09	—
biguzera-	7	18	4	57%	54.7	52.4%	0.47	9.0
nyezin	5	18	8	20%	54.4	52.4%	0.41	—
lux1-	6	16	4	67%	47.8	42.9%	0.39	—

Fluxo

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Lucaozy	18	12	3	44%	88.4	69.6%	1.26	—
chayJESUS	14	16	11	50%	79.9	73.9%	1.06	—
vsmm	14	15	4	43%	76.8	65.2%	0.98	—
PKL	10	17	7	70%	70.9	60.9%	0.75	6.8
-zevy-	6	13	1	33%	38.3	56.5%	0.53	—
▸ Observers (1)
Coach \| turner--	— observer —

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
lux1-	16	13	12	50%	91.0	87.0%	1.34	—
nqz-	16	10	4	19%	87.9	82.6%	1.33	—
biguzera-	16	13	5	56%	83.9	78.3%	1.22	9.0
nyezin	15	11	4	53%	63.4	69.6%	1.10	—
kauez_	13	19	2	69%	64.1	56.5%	0.74	—

Fluxo

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
chayJESUS	17	17	3	65%	88.1	71.4%	1.15	—
Lucaozy	12	15	7	42%	71.5	76.2%	0.99	—
-zevy-	9	15	2	78%	52.1	47.6%	0.58	—
PKL	8	17	3	38%	41.7	52.4%	0.49	6.8
vsmm	8	15	2	50%	32.5	42.9%	0.44	—
▸ Observers (1)
Coach \| turner--	— observer —

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
kauez_	23	12	2	61%	105.3	66.7%	1.54	—
nyezin	20	12	2	50%	86.4	76.2%	1.42	—
nqz-	12	9	6	17%	64.0	85.7%	1.19	—
lux1-	13	12	4	46%	60.6	71.4%	1.03	—
biguzera-	8	15	6	50%	54.6	61.9%	0.67	9.0

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Live win probability — mirage

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

⚡ SPECTER re-prices win probability after every kill, plant and save. Momentum swings visible per round.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows clearly.

⬡ Round-by-round reconstruction runs post-match from validated V4 demo data. Check back after parse.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

Lucaozy nqz- chayJESUS kauez_ nyezin lux1- vsmm biguzera -zevy- PKL